TRON closed yesterday at $0.3326, -26.1% from its all-time high of $0.4500 (2024-12-04). Over the last year it moved 0.21x as much as Bitcoin on a typical day (correlation 0.39). Everything below comes from 8.4 years of daily closes since 2018-06-11.
On TRX: Rose within 7 days 63% of the time (128 cases), vs 55% on an ordinary day. No edge
Double Bottom(bullish, 4-hour chart, 10/16/2026)
On TRX: Rose within 24 hours 57% of the time (197 cases), vs 54% on an ordinary bar. No edge
Inverse H&S(bullish, 4-hour chart, 10/16/2026)
On TRX: Rose within 24 hours 43% of the time (93 cases), vs 54% on an ordinary bar. Leans opposite
Historical frequencies, not predictions. Live detection on every timeframe is in the pattern scanner.
Which patterns worked on TRON?
We tested 248 pattern, timeframe and horizon combinations with at least 30 past cases on TRX. 238 were indistinguishable from an ordinary day, 5 did better than usual, 5 tended to go the other way. Each is compared with how often TRX rose (or fell) over the same window from any random bar.
Rose within 24 hours 43% of the time (93 cases), vs 54% on an ordinary bar.
TRON by month
Median monthly return and how many years each month closed higher. With only 8 years per month, these are descriptions of the past, not reliable tendencies.
Jan
+9%
62% up
Feb
+1%
50% up
Mar
+1%
50% up
Apr
+2%
62% up
May
+8%
75% up
Jun
-6%
38% up
Jul
+1%
67% up
Aug
+1%
56% up
Sep
-4%
33% up
Oct
+6%
75% up
Nov
-5%
38% up
Dec
+2%
62% up
What followed TRON's biggest days
After a 10%+ daily drop51 times, last 2024-12-09
7 days later: TRX was higher 54% of the time (n=37), vs 55% after any day. Median +1.8% (any day +0.7%); middle 80% -15% to +17%. No different from any day.
30 days later: TRX was higher 60% of the time (n=25), vs 58% after any day. Median +3.7% (any day +2.5%); middle 80% -32% to +29%. No different from any day.
After a 10%+ daily rise68 times, last 2024-12-03
7 days later: TRX was higher 46% of the time (n=46), vs 55% after any day. Median -2.7% (any day +0.7%); middle 80% -13% to +20%. No different from any day.
30 days later: TRX was higher 58% of the time (n=24), vs 58% after any day. Median +6.0% (any day +2.5%); middle 80% -29% to +45%. No different from any day.
Statistics as of 2026-10-15. Name and market-cap rank: CoinGecko. Prices: Binance. Historical statistics describe the past and are not investment advice.