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Bitcoin statistics

Bitcoin closed yesterday at $82,246, -34.8% from its all-time high of $126,200 (2025-10-06). Everything below comes from 9.2 years of daily closes since 2017-08-17.

7 days
+0.6%
30 days
+8.7%
90 days
+28.6%
1 year
-25.8%
Year to date
-6.2%
Volatility (30d, annualised)
37%
1-year: 44%
Worst drawdown, last year
-49%
All-time: -83%
Trend
Above 200-day
+13.7% from it · above 50-day
Market cap
$1.64T
24h volume $1.8B (Binance)
Daily close, last 400 days
$128,621$54,663
2025-09-152026-01-252026-06-072026-10-17

Patterns confirmed in the last few days

Tweezer Top (bearish, daily chart, 10/14/2026)
On BTC: Fell within 7 days 44% of the time (50 cases), vs 47% on an ordinary day. No edge
Bearish Engulfing (bearish, 4-hour chart, 10/16/2026)
On BTC: Fell within 24 hours 43% of the time (675 cases), vs 48% on an ordinary bar. Leans opposite
Bearish Marubozu (bearish, 4-hour chart, 10/16/2026)
On BTC: Fell within 24 hours 41% of the time (76 cases), vs 48% on an ordinary bar. No edge
Advance Block (bearish, 4-hour chart, 10/17/2026)
On BTC: Fell within 24 hours 49% of the time (195 cases), vs 48% on an ordinary bar. No edge
Triple Bottom (bullish, 4-hour chart, 10/16/2026)
On BTC: Rose within 24 hours 55% of the time (87 cases), vs 52% on an ordinary bar. No edge

Historical frequencies, not predictions. Live detection on every timeframe is in the pattern scanner.

Which patterns worked on Bitcoin?

We tested 263 pattern, timeframe and horizon combinations with at least 30 past cases on BTC. 244 were indistinguishable from an ordinary day, 4 did better than usual, 5 tended to go the other way. Each is compared with how often BTC rose (or fell) over the same window from any random bar.

Advance Block · bearish · 1-hour chart · 4 hoursWeak edge
Fell within 4 hours 55% of the time (455 cases), vs 49% on an ordinary bar.
Homing Pigeon · bullish · daily chart · 24 hoursWeak edge
Rose within 24 hours 75% of the time (32 cases), vs 51% on an ordinary day.
Tweezer Bottom · bullish · 4-hour chart · 24 hoursWeak edge
Rose within 24 hours 59% of the time (207 cases), vs 52% on an ordinary bar.
Deliberation · bearish · 1-hour chart · 4 hoursWeak edge
Fell within 4 hours 57% of the time (154 cases), vs 49% on an ordinary bar.
Went the other way more often than usual
Three Outside Down · bearish · 1-hour chart · 4 hoursOpposite
Fell within 4 hours 43% of the time (976 cases), vs 49% on an ordinary bar.
Double Top · bearish · 1-hour chart · 4 hoursLeans opposite
Fell within 4 hours 42% of the time (503 cases), vs 49% on an ordinary bar.
Three Outside Down · bearish · 4-hour chart · 24 hoursLeans opposite
Fell within 24 hours 40% of the time (340 cases), vs 48% on an ordinary bar.
Three White Soldiers · bullish · 1-hour chart · 24 hoursLeans opposite
Rose within 24 hours 46% of the time (527 cases), vs 52% on an ordinary bar.
Dragonfly Doji · bullish · 4-hour chart · 24 hoursLeans opposite
Rose within 24 hours 30% of the time (33 cases), vs 52% on an ordinary bar.

Bitcoin by month

Median monthly return and how many years each month closed higher. With only 9 years per month, these are descriptions of the past, not reliable tendencies.

Jan
-4%
44% up
Feb
+10%
56% up
Mar
+4%
67% up
Apr
+11%
67% up
May
-3%
44% up
Jun
-7%
33% up
Jul
+10%
78% up
Aug
-8%
22% up
Sep
-6%
40% up
Oct
+16%
78% up
Nov
-7%
44% up
Dec
-3%
44% up

What followed Bitcoin's biggest days

After a 10%+ daily drop29 times, last 2026-02-05
7 days later: BTC was higher 58% of the time (n=24), vs 53% after any day. Median +2.2% (any day +0.5%); middle 80% -17% to +9%. No different from any day.
30 days later: BTC was higher 58% of the time (n=19), vs 55% after any day. Median +1.7% (any day +1.8%); middle 80% -18% to +28%. No different from any day.
After a 10%+ daily rise43 times, last 2026-02-06
7 days later: BTC was higher 62% of the time (n=34), vs 53% after any day. Median +2.3% (any day +0.5%); middle 80% -11% to +11%. No different from any day.
30 days later: BTC was higher 54% of the time (n=24), vs 55% after any day. Median +5.4% (any day +1.8%); middle 80% -24% to +22%. No different from any day.

More questions like this: what happens after…

Trade BTC on: binance, bitget, bybit, coinbase, gateio, kraken, kucoin, mexc, okx.
Similar-sized coins: Ethereum, BNB, XRP, Solana, TRON, Zcash, Dogecoin, Chainlink
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Statistics as of 2026-10-15. Name and market-cap rank: CoinGecko. Prices: Binance. Historical statistics describe the past and are not investment advice.