XRP closed yesterday at $1.33, -63.5% from its all-time high of $3.66 (2025-07-18). Over the last year it moved 1.26x as much as Bitcoin on a typical day (correlation 0.87). Everything below comes from 8.5 years of daily closes since 2018-05-04.
7 days
-3.3%
30 days
+4.0%
90 days
+22.6%
1 year
-44.6%
Year to date
-27.5%
Volatility (30d, annualised)
56%
1-year: 64%
Worst drawdown, last year
-62%
All-time: -85%
Trend
Above 200-day
+4.2% from it · below 50-day
Market cap
$82.6B
24h volume $172.0M (Binance)
Daily close, last 400 days
$3.21$0.8682
2025-09-152026-01-252026-06-062026-10-16
Patterns confirmed in the last few days
In Neck(bearish, daily chart, 10/15/2026)
On XRP: Fell within 7 days 54% of the time (41 cases), vs 53% on an ordinary day. No edge
All coins: Fell within 24 hours 49% of the time (558 cases), vs 50% on an ordinary bar. No edge
Historical frequencies, not predictions. Live detection on every timeframe is in the pattern scanner.
Which patterns worked on XRP?
We tested 250 pattern, timeframe and horizon combinations with at least 30 past cases on XRP. 229 were indistinguishable from an ordinary day, 5 did better than usual, 5 tended to go the other way. Each is compared with how often XRP rose (or fell) over the same window from any random bar.
Rose within 4 hours 43% of the time (329 cases), vs 50% on an ordinary bar.
XRP by month
Median monthly return and how many years each month closed higher. With only 8 years per month, these are descriptions of the past, not reliable tendencies.
Jan
+4%
50% up
Feb
-1%
50% up
Mar
+2%
50% up
Apr
+0%
50% up
May
-4%
33% up
Jun
-17%
11% up
Jul
+21%
78% up
Aug
-6%
22% up
Sep
+3%
78% up
Oct
-1%
50% up
Nov
-10%
25% up
Dec
-12%
12% up
What followed XRP's biggest days
After a 10%+ daily drop60 times, last 2026-02-05
7 days later: XRP was higher 50% of the time (n=50), vs 46% after any day. Median -0.2% (any day -0.7%); middle 80% -15% to +22%. No different from any day.
30 days later: XRP was higher 33% of the time (n=33), vs 45% after any day. Median -3.4% (any day -2.2%); middle 80% -17% to +20%. No different from any day.
After a 10%+ daily rise85 times, last 2026-08-21
7 days later: XRP was higher 40% of the time (n=57), vs 46% after any day. Median -3.4% (any day -0.7%); middle 80% -19% to +28%. No different from any day.
30 days later: XRP was higher 42% of the time (n=33), vs 45% after any day. Median -2.5% (any day -2.2%); middle 80% -27% to +46%. No different from any day.
Statistics as of 2026-10-15. Name and market-cap rank: CoinGecko. Prices: Binance. Historical statistics describe the past and are not investment advice.