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#7 by market cap · SOL

Solana statistics

Solana closed yesterday at $105.44, -64.4% from its all-time high of $295.83 (2025-01-19). Over the last year it moved 1.26x as much as Bitcoin on a typical day (correlation 0.87). Everything below comes from 6.2 years of daily closes since 2020-08-11.

7 days
-3.8%
30 days
+8.8%
90 days
+40.5%
1 year
-45.6%
Year to date
-15.4%
Volatility (30d, annualised)
60%
1-year: 64%
Worst drawdown, last year
-69%
All-time: -96%
Trend
Above 200-day
+20.8% from it · below 50-day
Market cap
$61.5B
24h volume $294.9M (Binance)
Daily close, last 400 days
$258.62$51.08
2025-09-152026-01-252026-06-062026-10-16

Patterns confirmed in the last few days

Bearish Marubozu (bearish, 4-hour chart, 10/16/2026)
On SOL: Fell within 24 hours 47% of the time (111 cases), vs 50% on an ordinary bar. No edge

Historical frequencies, not predictions. Live detection on every timeframe is in the pattern scanner.

Which patterns worked on Solana?

We tested 239 pattern, timeframe and horizon combinations with at least 30 past cases on SOL. 228 were indistinguishable from an ordinary day, 6 did better than usual, 5 tended to go the other way. Each is compared with how often SOL rose (or fell) over the same window from any random bar.

Falling Wedge · bullish · 1-hour chart · 4 hoursWeak edge
Rose within 4 hours 60% of the time (140 cases), vs 50% on an ordinary bar.
Tweezer Bottom · bullish · 1-hour chart · 24 hoursWeak edge
Rose within 24 hours 56% of the time (418 cases), vs 50% on an ordinary bar.
Shooting Star · bearish · 4-hour chart · 24 hoursWeak edge
Fell within 24 hours 65% of the time (57 cases), vs 50% on an ordinary bar.
Triple Top · bearish · 1-hour chart · 4 hoursWeak edge
Fell within 4 hours 56% of the time (282 cases), vs 49% on an ordinary bar.
Bearish Engulfing · bearish · daily chart · 7 daysWeak edge
Fell within 7 days 62% of the time (91 cases), vs 50% on an ordinary day.
Mat Hold · bullish · 4-hour chart · 7 daysWeak edge
Rose within 7 days 62% of the time (86 cases), vs 50% on an ordinary bar.
Went the other way more often than usual
Three Outside Up · bullish · 1-hour chart · 4 hoursLeans opposite
Rose within 4 hours 47% of the time (957 cases), vs 50% on an ordinary bar.
Rounding Bottom · bullish · 1-hour chart · 4 hoursLeans opposite
Rose within 4 hours 44% of the time (275 cases), vs 50% on an ordinary bar.
Triple Bottom · bullish · 4-hour chart · 24 hoursLeans opposite
Rose within 24 hours 31% of the time (32 cases), vs 50% on an ordinary bar.
Three White Soldiers · bullish · 1-hour chart · 4 hoursLeans opposite
Rose within 4 hours 46% of the time (748 cases), vs 50% on an ordinary bar.
Bearish Marubozu · bearish · 1-hour chart · 4 hoursLeans opposite
Fell within 4 hours 43% of the time (280 cases), vs 49% on an ordinary bar.

Solana by month

Median monthly return and how many years each month closed higher. With only 6 years per month, these are descriptions of the past, not reliable tendencies.

Jan
+4%
50% up
Feb
-11%
33% up
Mar
+12%
50% up
Apr
+5%
67% up
May
-3%
33% up
Jun
-9%
17% up
Jul
+17%
83% up
Aug
+3%
50% up
Sep
+11%
86% up
Oct
+8%
67% up
Nov
+12%
67% up
Dec
-22%
17% up

What followed Solana's biggest days

After a 10%+ daily drop55 times, last 2026-02-05
7 days later: SOL was higher 57% of the time (n=40), vs 50% after any day. Median +1.0% (any day -0.1%); middle 80% -17% to +28%. No different from any day.
30 days later: SOL was higher 52% of the time (n=25), vs 51% after any day. Median +0.4% (any day +0.7%); middle 80% -26% to +44%. No different from any day.
After a 10%+ daily rise111 times, last 2026-09-18
7 days later: SOL was higher 55% of the time (n=71), vs 50% after any day. Median +2.2% (any day -0.1%); middle 80% -15% to +34%. No different from any day.
30 days later: SOL was higher 50% of the time (n=36), vs 51% after any day. Median +2.4% (any day +0.7%); middle 80% -31% to +102%. No different from any day.

More questions like this: what happens after…

Trade SOL on: binance, bitget, bybit, coinbase, gateio, kraken, kucoin, mexc, okx.
Similar-sized coins: TRON, XRP, BNB, Zcash, Ethereum, Dogecoin, Bitcoin, Chainlink
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Statistics as of 2026-10-15. Name and market-cap rank: CoinGecko. Prices: Binance. Historical statistics describe the past and are not investment advice.