Bittensor closed yesterday at $279.1, -77.7% from its all-time high of $1,249 (2024-04-11). Over the last year it moved 1.30x as much as Bitcoin on a typical day (correlation 0.63). Everything below comes from 2.5 years of daily closes since 2024-04-11.
7 days
+3.9%
30 days
+28.1%
90 days
+43.4%
1 year
-32.2%
Year to date
+27.3%
Volatility (30d, annualised)
105%
1-year: 91%
Worst drawdown, last year
-71%
All-time: -80%
Trend
Above 200-day
+13.5% from it · above 50-day
Market cap
$3.1B
24h volume $27.3M (Binance)
Daily close, last 400 days
$518.28$124.82
2025-09-152026-01-252026-06-062026-10-16
Patterns confirmed in the last few days
Tweezer Top(bearish, daily chart, 10/14/2026)
All coins: Fell within 7 days 53% of the time (6,059 cases), vs 54% on an ordinary day. No edge
Three Inside Down(bearish, 4-hour chart, 10/16/2026)
On TAO: Fell within 24 hours 48% of the time (44 cases), vs 54% on an ordinary bar. No edge
Unique Three River(bullish, 4-hour chart, 10/16/2026)
On TAO: Rose within 24 hours 44% of the time (36 cases), vs 46% on an ordinary bar. No edge
In Neck(bearish, 4-hour chart, 10/16/2026)
On TAO: Fell within 24 hours 51% of the time (70 cases), vs 54% on an ordinary bar. No edge
Historical frequencies, not predictions. Live detection on every timeframe is in the pattern scanner.
Which patterns worked on Bittensor?
We tested 70 pattern, timeframe and horizon combinations with at least 30 past cases on TAO. 69 were indistinguishable from an ordinary day, 1 did better than usual. Each is compared with how often TAO rose (or fell) over the same window from any random bar.
Mat Hold · bullish · 4-hour chart · 7 daysWeak edge
Rose within 7 days 70% of the time (30 cases), vs 47% on an ordinary bar.
Bittensor by month
Median monthly return and how many years each month closed higher. With only 2 years per month, these are descriptions of the past, not reliable tendencies.
Jan
-11%
0% up
Feb
-10%
0% up
Mar
+20%
50% up
Apr
+17%
50% up
May
+2%
67% up
Jun
-20%
0% up
Jul
+9%
67% up
Aug
-6%
33% up
Sep
+37%
67% up
Oct
+20%
50% up
Nov
+2%
50% up
Dec
-24%
0% up
What followed Bittensor's biggest days
After a 10%+ daily drop22 times, last 2026-06-02
7 days later: TAO was higher 35% of the time (n=17), vs 47% after any day. Median -3.2% (any day -1.1%); middle 80% -13% to +22%. No different from any day.
30 days later: TAO was higher 54% of the time (n=13), vs 43% after any day. Median +0.2% (any day -4.6%); middle 80% -24% to +87%. No different from any day.
After a 10%+ daily rise37 times, last 2026-09-21
7 days later: TAO was higher 54% of the time (n=26), vs 47% after any day. Median +1.6% (any day -1.1%); middle 80% -13% to +23%. No different from any day.
30 days later: TAO was higher 31% of the time (n=16), vs 43% after any day. Median -9.1% (any day -4.6%); middle 80% -23% to +57%. No different from any day.
Statistics as of 2026-10-15. Name and market-cap rank: CoinGecko. Prices: Binance. Historical statistics describe the past and are not investment advice.