Avalanche closed yesterday at $10.04, -93.2% from its all-time high of $147 (2021-11-21). Over the last year it moved 1.19x as much as Bitcoin on a typical day (correlation 0.72). Everything below comes from 6.1 years of daily closes since 2020-09-22.
7 days
-0.3%
30 days
+38.1%
90 days
+52.4%
1 year
-54.1%
Year to date
-18.5%
Volatility (30d, annualised)
113%
1-year: 73%
Worst drawdown, last year
-72%
All-time: -96%
Trend
Above 200-day
+23.1% from it · above 50-day
Market cap
$4.4B
24h volume $32.4M (Binance)
Daily close, last 400 days
$36.95$4.14
2025-09-152026-01-252026-06-062026-10-16
Patterns confirmed in the last few days
Dragonfly Doji(bullish, daily chart, 10/15/2026)
All coins: Rose within 7 days 45% of the time (684 cases), vs 46% on an ordinary day. No edge
In Neck(bearish, daily chart, 10/13/2026)
All coins: Fell within 7 days 53% of the time (4,091 cases), vs 54% on an ordinary day. No edge
Rising Wedge(bearish, daily chart, 10/13/2026)
All coins: Fell within 7 days 57% of the time (2,292 cases), vs 53% on an ordinary day. No edge
Bull Flag(bullish, daily chart, 10/13/2026)
All coins: Rose within 7 days 43% of the time (3,443 cases), vs 46% on an ordinary day. No edge
Historical frequencies, not predictions. Live detection on every timeframe is in the pattern scanner.
Which patterns worked on Avalanche?
We tested 134 pattern, timeframe and horizon combinations with at least 30 past cases on AVAX. 129 were indistinguishable from an ordinary day, 5 tended to go the other way. Each is compared with how often AVAX rose (or fell) over the same window from any random bar.
Fell within 24 hours 47% of the time (637 cases), vs 51% on an ordinary bar.
Three Inside Down · bearish · 4-hour chart · 7 daysLeans opposite
Fell within 7 days 41% of the time (94 cases), vs 52% on an ordinary bar.
Avalanche by month
Median monthly return and how many years each month closed higher. With only 6 years per month, these are descriptions of the past, not reliable tendencies.
Jan
-15%
33% up
Feb
+4%
50% up
Mar
+2%
50% up
Apr
-2%
33% up
May
-10%
17% up
Jun
-22%
0% up
Jul
+10%
50% up
Aug
-1%
50% up
Sep
+29%
67% up
Oct
-4%
33% up
Nov
+38%
67% up
Dec
-9%
17% up
What followed Avalanche's biggest days
After a 10%+ daily drop69 times, last 2026-06-05
7 days later: AVAX was higher 47% of the time (n=49), vs 48% after any day. Median -0.4% (any day -0.5%); middle 80% -15% to +22%. No different from any day.
30 days later: AVAX was higher 37% of the time (n=27), vs 46% after any day. Median -15.7% (any day -2.2%); middle 80% -34% to +48%. No different from any day.
After a 10%+ daily rise93 times, last 2026-09-20
7 days later: AVAX was higher 46% of the time (n=56), vs 48% after any day. Median -0.9% (any day -0.5%); middle 80% -18% to +53%. No different from any day.
30 days later: AVAX was higher 48% of the time (n=31), vs 46% after any day. Median -1.4% (any day -2.2%); middle 80% -32% to +101%. No different from any day.
Statistics as of 2026-10-15. Name and market-cap rank: CoinGecko. Prices: Binance. Historical statistics describe the past and are not investment advice.