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#32 by market cap · HBAR

Hedera statistics

Hedera closed yesterday at $0.08520, -85.2% from its all-time high of $0.5760 (2021-09-16). Over the last year it moved 1.05x as much as Bitcoin on a typical day (correlation 0.66). Everything below comes from 7.1 years of daily closes since 2019-09-29.

7 days
-5.7%
30 days
+14.7%
90 days
+29.3%
1 year
-52.4%
Year to date
-19.9%
Volatility (30d, annualised)
127%
1-year: 70%
Worst drawdown, last year
-68%
All-time: -93%
Trend
Above 200-day
+4.1% from it · below 50-day
Market cap
$3.7B
24h volume $16.8M (Binance)
Daily close, last 400 days
$0.2571$0.05376
2025-09-152026-01-252026-06-062026-10-16

Patterns confirmed in the last few days

On Neck (bearish, daily chart, 10/13/2026)
All coins: Fell within 7 days 56% of the time (116 cases), vs 54% on an ordinary day. No edge
In Neck (bearish, daily chart, 10/13/2026)
All coins: Fell within 7 days 53% of the time (4,091 cases), vs 54% on an ordinary day. No edge
Bullish Engulfing (bullish, 4-hour chart, 10/16/2026)
On HBAR: Rose within 24 hours 46% of the time (647 cases), vs 48% on an ordinary bar. No edge
Bearish Engulfing (bearish, 4-hour chart, 10/16/2026)
On HBAR: Fell within 24 hours 50% of the time (692 cases), vs 51% on an ordinary bar. No edge
Bearish Marubozu (bearish, 4-hour chart, 10/16/2026)
On HBAR: Fell within 24 hours 54% of the time (112 cases), vs 51% on an ordinary bar. No edge
Three Outside Down (bearish, 4-hour chart, 10/16/2026)
On HBAR: Fell within 24 hours 52% of the time (357 cases), vs 51% on an ordinary bar. No edge

Historical frequencies, not predictions. Live detection on every timeframe is in the pattern scanner.

Which patterns worked on Hedera?

We tested 127 pattern, timeframe and horizon combinations with at least 30 past cases on HBAR. 118 were indistinguishable from an ordinary day, 4 did better than usual, 5 tended to go the other way. Each is compared with how often HBAR rose (or fell) over the same window from any random bar.

Bullish Engulfing · bullish · daily chart · 24 hoursWeak edge
Rose within 24 hours 63% of the time (105 cases), vs 49% on an ordinary day.
V-Top · bearish · daily chart · 7 daysWeak edge
Fell within 7 days 66% of the time (95 cases), vs 54% on an ordinary day.
Rounding Top · bearish · 4-hour chart · 7 daysWeak edge
Fell within 7 days 65% of the time (83 cases), vs 53% on an ordinary bar.
Shooting Star · bearish · 4-hour chart · 24 hoursWeak edge
Fell within 24 hours 62% of the time (107 cases), vs 51% on an ordinary bar.
Went the other way more often than usual
Three Black Crows · bearish · 4-hour chart · 24 hoursLeans opposite
Fell within 24 hours 44% of the time (304 cases), vs 51% on an ordinary bar.
Bearish Engulfing · bearish · daily chart · 24 hoursLeans opposite
Fell within 24 hours 41% of the time (167 cases), vs 50% on an ordinary day.
Bull Flag · bullish · 4-hour chart · 24 hoursLeans opposite
Rose within 24 hours 35% of the time (79 cases), vs 48% on an ordinary bar.
Tweezer Top · bearish · daily chart · 7 daysLeans opposite
Fell within 7 days 34% of the time (32 cases), vs 54% on an ordinary day.
Tweezer Top · bearish · daily chart · 24 hoursLeans opposite
Fell within 24 hours 33% of the time (36 cases), vs 50% on an ordinary day.

Hedera by month

Median monthly return and how many years each month closed higher. With only 7 years per month, these are descriptions of the past, not reliable tendencies.

Jan
+4%
57% up
Feb
+13%
71% up
Mar
-1%
43% up
Apr
-10%
29% up
May
-10%
43% up
Jun
-14%
14% up
Jul
+3%
71% up
Aug
-1%
43% up
Sep
+0%
57% up
Oct
-5%
43% up
Nov
-13%
43% up
Dec
-17%
29% up

What followed Hedera's biggest days

After a 10%+ daily drop64 times, last 2026-09-29
7 days later: HBAR was higher 46% of the time (n=48), vs 46% after any day. Median -0.7% (any day -1.1%); middle 80% -16% to +18%. No different from any day.
30 days later: HBAR was higher 54% of the time (n=28), vs 42% after any day. Median +2.4% (any day -4.3%); middle 80% -27% to +44%. No different from any day.
After a 10%+ daily rise95 times, last 2026-09-28
7 days later: HBAR was higher 42% of the time (n=62), vs 46% after any day. Median -2.7% (any day -1.1%); middle 80% -20% to +37%. No different from any day.
30 days later: HBAR was higher 34% of the time (n=32), vs 42% after any day. Median -8.7% (any day -4.3%); middle 80% -30% to +71%. No different from any day.

More questions like this: what happens after…

Trade HBAR on: binance, bitget, bybit, coinbase, gateio, kraken, kucoin, mexc, okx.
Similar-sized coins: Gram (prev. Toncoin), Bittensor, Sui, Shiba Inu, Avalanche, Quant, Uniswap, Litecoin
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Statistics as of 2026-10-15. Name and market-cap rank: CoinGecko. Prices: Binance. Historical statistics describe the past and are not investment advice.