Sui closed yesterday at $1.04, -80.7% from its all-time high of $5.37 (2025-01-06). Over the last year it moved 1.50x as much as Bitcoin on a typical day (correlation 0.77). Everything below comes from 3.5 years of daily closes since 2023-05-03.
On SUI: Fell within 24 hours 53% of the time (354 cases), vs 53% on an ordinary bar. No edge
Mat Hold(bullish, 4-hour chart, 10/16/2026)
On SUI: Rose within 24 hours 38% of the time (52 cases), vs 47% on an ordinary bar. No edge
Three Outside Down(bearish, 4-hour chart, 10/16/2026)
On SUI: Fell within 24 hours 49% of the time (194 cases), vs 53% on an ordinary bar. No edge
Falling Wedge(bullish, 4-hour chart, 10/16/2026)
On SUI: Rose within 24 hours 55% of the time (62 cases), vs 47% on an ordinary bar. No edge
Historical frequencies, not predictions. Live detection on every timeframe is in the pattern scanner.
Which patterns worked on Sui?
We tested 91 pattern, timeframe and horizon combinations with at least 30 past cases on SUI. 90 were indistinguishable from an ordinary day, 1 tended to go the other way. Each is compared with how often SUI rose (or fell) over the same window from any random bar.
Rose within 24 hours 30% of the time (40 cases), vs 47% on an ordinary bar.
Sui by month
Median monthly return and how many years each month closed higher. With only 3 years per month, these are descriptions of the past, not reliable tendencies.
Jan
-5%
33% up
Feb
-18%
33% up
Mar
-1%
33% up
Apr
+3%
67% up
May
-10%
0% up
Jun
-21%
0% up
Jul
-7%
25% up
Aug
+1%
50% up
Sep
+32%
75% up
Oct
-13%
33% up
Nov
+28%
67% up
Dec
+19%
100% up
What followed Sui's biggest days
After a 10%+ daily drop17 times, last 2026-02-05
7 days later: SUI was higher 60% of the time (n=15), vs 46% after any day. Median +4.5% (any day -1.2%); middle 80% -15% to +15%. No different from any day.
30 days later: SUI was higher 60% of the time (n=10), vs 47% after any day. Median +1.4% (any day -1.9%); middle 80% -25% to +55%. Too few cases to tell.
After a 10%+ daily rise60 times, last 2026-09-25
7 days later: SUI was higher 53% of the time (n=40), vs 46% after any day. Median +1.4% (any day -1.2%); middle 80% -13% to +30%. No different from any day.
30 days later: SUI was higher 52% of the time (n=23), vs 47% after any day. Median +0.9% (any day -1.9%); middle 80% -34% to +70%. No different from any day.
Statistics as of 2026-10-15. Name and market-cap rank: CoinGecko. Prices: Binance. Historical statistics describe the past and are not investment advice.