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What happens to Ethereum after it crashes 10% in a day?

Every 10%+ down day on ETH, and what followed. Condition: Ethereum closes down 10% or more in a day.

1 day later
60%higher
vs 51% after any day. Median move +1.2% (any day +0.1%).
Middle 80%: -5.6% to +11.3%. Worst -17.4%, best +24.3%.
About the same as any dayn=62
3 days later
56%higher
vs 52% after any day. Median move +2.5% (any day +0.3%).
Middle 80%: -10.0% to +13.8%. Worst -24.3%, best +25.3%.
About the same as any dayn=55
7 days later
44%higher
vs 52% after any day. Median move -0.8% (any day +0.3%).
Middle 80%: -13.3% to +15.6%. Worst -37.9%, best +28.6%.
About the same as any dayn=50
30 days later
44%higher
vs 53% after any day. Median move -3.3% (any day +1.3%).
Middle 80%: -26.5% to +14.3%. Worst -55.3%, best +64.9%.
About the same as any dayn=34

62 occurrences on Ethereum since 2017-08-17. Each horizon counts non-overlapping cases only (a run of consecutive days counts once per horizon), measured from the close of the day the condition was met, and is compared with every day in the same history. "Up more/less often" needs a z-score beyond ±2.5; anything closer is reported as the same as any day.

DateClose+1d+3d+7d+30d
2026-06-051,583.4-0.9%+6.8%+5.2%+12.8%
2026-02-051,826.83+12.9%+14.4%+6.6%+7.8%
2025-10-103,829.72-2.2%+10.7%+0.1%-6.4%
2025-04-061,580.76-1.8%+5.6%+1.1%+14.9%
2025-03-032,149.01+1.1%+2.5%-13.2%-16.5%
2025-02-242,513.52-0.7%-8.2%-14.5%-20.1%
2024-08-052,419.59+1.7%+10.9%+12.5%+1.3%
2024-03-193,158.64+11.3%+5.6%+13.6%-3.0%
2022-11-091,102.73+17.8%+14.0%+10.3%+14.5%
2022-11-081,334.77-17.4%-3.4%-6.1%-4.1%
2022-09-151,472.75-2.6%-9.4%-9.9%-13.4%
2022-08-261,508.18-1.1%+2.9%+4.5%-14.2%
2022-08-191,609.01-2.0%+1.0%-6.3%-17.1%
2022-06-161,068.5+1.7%+5.6%+7.1%+26.9%
2022-06-131,209.82-0.1%-11.7%-6.7%-7.8%
2022-05-112,084.99-6.0%-1.4%-8.2%-20.2%
2022-05-092,228.55+5.1%-12.0%-9.2%-19.6%
2022-01-212,568.15-6.1%-5.0%-0.9%+2.1%
2021-11-264,041.2+1.3%+10.0%+4.3%+0.6%
2021-09-202,977.28-7.1%+5.9%-1.7%+39.8%
2021-09-073,434.57+1.9%-6.6%-0.0%+4.5%
2021-06-211,885.49-0.3%+5.5%+10.6%+5.8%
2021-05-282,412.1-5.5%+12.2%+11.5%-17.8%
2021-05-212,430.98-5.6%+8.9%-0.8%-7.7%
2021-05-192,438.92+13.5%-5.9%+18.3%-8.4%
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