The trend line our market regime uses, and what followed a cross above it. Condition: Bitcoin crosses above its 100-day average.
58 occurrences on Bitcoin since 2017-08-17. Each horizon counts non-overlapping cases only (a run of consecutive days counts once per horizon), measured from the close of the day the condition was met, and is compared with every day in the same history. "Up more/less often" needs a z-score beyond ±2.5; anything closer is reported as the same as any day.
| Date | Close | +1d | +3d | +7d | +30d |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-19 | 69,334.79 | +5.3% | +11.2% | +14.0% | +16.7% |
| 2026-04-20 | 75,840.97 | +0.7% | +3.2% | +2.0% | +2.3% |
| 2026-04-16 | 75,154.29 | +2.5% | -1.8% | +4.1% | +4.0% |
| 2025-09-29 | 114,311.96 | -0.2% | +5.4% | +9.1% | -3.8% |
| 2025-09-10 | 113,960 | +1.3% | +1.7% | +2.2% | -1.0% |
| 2025-09-08 | 112,065.23 | -0.5% | +3.0% | +2.9% | +10.0% |
| 2025-08-28 | 112,566.9 | -3.7% | -3.8% | -1.6% | -2.6% |
| 2025-08-26 | 111,763.22 | -0.5% | -3.0% | -0.5% | -2.5% |
| 2025-04-22 | 93,442.99 | +0.3% | +1.3% | +0.9% | +19.5% |
| 2025-02-20 | 98,305 | -2.2% | -2.1% | -13.8% | -14.7% |
| 2025-02-14 | 97,500.48 | +0.1% | -1.8% | -1.4% | -15.3% |
| 2025-02-12 | 97,869.99 | -1.3% | -0.3% | -1.3% | -14.2% |
| 2024-10-11 | 62,540 | +1.1% | +5.7% | +9.4% | +28.5% |
| 2024-10-04 | 62,086 | -0.1% | +0.2% | +0.7% | +10.8% |
| 2024-09-18 | 61,759.99 | +1.9% | +2.6% | +2.3% | +10.8% |
| 2024-08-23 | 64,037.24 | +0.2% | -1.9% | -7.7% | -0.7% |
| 2024-07-19 | 66,660 | +0.7% | +1.3% | +1.9% | -12.3% |
| 2024-07-15 | 64,724.14 | +0.5% | -1.1% | +4.3% | -9.3% |
| 2024-05-15 | 66,206.5 | -1.5% | +1.1% | +4.5% | -0.3% |
| 2024-05-13 | 62,940.08 | -2.2% | +3.6% | +13.5% | +8.5% |
| 2024-05-03 | 62,882.01 | +1.6% | +0.5% | -3.3% | +7.8% |
| 2023-10-16 | 28,500.78 | -0.4% | +0.8% | +16.0% | +32.8% |
| 2023-06-20 | 28,307.99 | +6.0% | +8.4% | +8.4% | +5.3% |
| 2023-06-06 | 27,230.08 | -3.3% | -2.8% | -4.8% | +9.8% |
| 2023-06-02 | 27,242.59 | -0.6% | -5.6% | -2.8% | +12.4% |