Every Federal Reserve rate decision since 2018 and BTC's move after it. Condition: Bitcoin FOMC decision day.
72 occurrences on Bitcoin since 2017-08-17. Each horizon counts non-overlapping cases only (a run of consecutive days counts once per horizon), measured from the close of the day the condition was met, and is compared with every day in the same history. "Up more/less often" needs a z-score beyond ±2.5; anything closer is reported as the same as any day.
| Date | Close | +1d | +3d | +7d | +30d |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-16 | 76,206.01 | +0.3% | +6.6% | +10.8% | — |
| 2026-07-29 | 63,984.28 | +1.2% | -1.8% | +1.1% | +21.7% |
| 2026-06-17 | 64,509.4 | -2.4% | -0.3% | -5.3% | -0.9% |
| 2026-04-29 | 75,780 | +0.8% | +3.8% | +7.5% | -3.1% |
| 2026-03-18 | 71,246.54 | -1.9% | -3.3% | +0.1% | +8.2% |
| 2026-01-28 | 89,299.99 | -5.2% | -11.8% | -18.1% | -26.2% |
| 2025-12-10 | 92,015.37 | +0.5% | -1.9% | -6.3% | -1.5% |
| 2025-10-29 | 110,021.29 | -1.5% | +0.1% | -5.6% | -17.4% |
| 2025-09-17 | 116,447.59 | +0.5% | -0.7% | -2.7% | -8.6% |
| 2025-07-30 | 117,840.3 | -1.8% | -4.5% | -2.4% | -8.0% |
| 2025-06-18 | 104,886.78 | -0.2% | -2.6% | +2.3% | +12.4% |
| 2025-05-07 | 97,030.5 | +6.4% | +8.0% | +6.7% | +7.5% |
| 2025-03-19 | 86,845.94 | -3.0% | -3.5% | +0.1% | -2.7% |
| 2025-01-29 | 103,733.24 | +0.9% | -3.0% | -6.9% | -18.7% |
| 2024-12-18 | 100,204.01 | -2.7% | -2.9% | -0.8% | +3.9% |
| 2024-11-07 | 75,857.89 | +0.9% | +6.0% | +15.1% | +31.6% |
| 2024-09-18 | 61,759.99 | +1.9% | +2.6% | +2.3% | +10.8% |
| 2024-07-31 | 64,628 | +1.1% | -6.1% | -14.7% | -8.5% |
| 2024-06-12 | 68,263.99 | -2.2% | -3.0% | -4.8% | -15.2% |
| 2024-05-01 | 58,364.97 | +1.2% | +9.5% | +4.8% | +15.7% |
| 2024-03-20 | 67,840.51 | -3.5% | -5.7% | +2.4% | -5.9% |
| 2024-01-31 | 42,580 | +1.2% | +1.0% | +4.2% | +46.5% |
| 2023-12-13 | 42,869.03 | +0.4% | -1.4% | +1.9% | -0.2% |
| 2023-11-01 | 35,421.43 | -1.4% | -1.0% | +0.6% | +9.2% |
| 2023-09-20 | 27,125 | -2.0% | -2.0% | -2.8% | +9.4% |