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What happens after Bitcoin makes a new 90-day high?

Breakouts to a 3-month high: does momentum carry on? Condition: Bitcoin closes at a new 90-day high.

1 day later
49%higher
vs 51% after any day. Median move -0.1% (any day +0.1%).
Middle 80%: -3.4% to +5.2%. Worst -13.5%, best +22.5%.
About the same as any dayn=238
3 days later
57%higher
vs 53% after any day. Median move +0.5% (any day +0.3%).
Middle 80%: -4.1% to +11.3%. Worst -13.5%, best +43.4%.
About the same as any dayn=125
7 days later
53%higher
vs 53% after any day. Median move +1.4% (any day +0.5%).
Middle 80%: -6.1% to +16.1%. Worst -24.0%, best +38.4%.
About the same as any dayn=79
30 days later
63%higher
vs 55% after any day. Median move +3.6% (any day +1.8%).
Middle 80%: -18.9% to +40.1%. Worst -29.1%, best +142.9%.
About the same as any dayn=35

238 occurrences on Bitcoin since 2017-08-17. Each horizon counts non-overlapping cases only (a run of consecutive days counts once per horizon), measured from the close of the day the condition was met, and is compared with every day in the same history. "Up more/less often" needs a z-score beyond ±2.5; anything closer is reported as the same as any day.

DateClose+1d+3d+7d+30d
2026-09-2186,620-0.5%-2.5%-3.6%—
2026-09-0381,270.37-2.0%-1.1%-5.8%+4.3%
2026-08-2780,249.58-3.0%-3.2%+1.3%+5.2%
2026-08-2679,023.75+1.6%-1.0%-2.1%+6.4%
2026-08-2478,992.75-0.6%+1.6%-0.5%+6.8%
2026-08-2178,338.03-1.6%+0.8%-0.6%+3.6%
2026-05-1082,210.07-0.6%-3.5%-5.8%-24.9%
2026-05-0681,447.01-1.8%-0.9%-2.6%-25.0%
2026-05-0580,905.52+0.7%-0.9%-0.5%-21.0%
2026-05-0479,861.01+1.3%+0.2%+2.4%-19.7%
2025-10-06124,658.54-2.7%-2.4%-7.6%-16.7%
2025-10-05123,482.31+0.9%-0.1%-6.9%-17.8%
2025-08-13123,306.43-4.1%-4.8%-7.3%-5.9%
2025-08-12120,134.08+2.6%-2.3%-6.0%-3.9%
2025-07-22119,954.42-1.0%-1.9%-1.7%-6.2%
2025-07-14119,841.18-1.7%-0.6%-2.0%+2.9%
2025-07-13119,086.64+0.6%-0.4%-1.5%+0.9%
2025-07-11117,527.66-0.1%+2.0%+0.3%+1.5%
2025-07-10116,010+1.3%+2.6%+2.7%+0.4%
2025-05-22111,696.21-3.9%-2.4%-5.5%-8.6%
2025-05-21109,643.99+1.9%-1.7%-1.7%-5.8%
2025-05-20106,849.99+2.6%+0.4%+1.9%-2.0%
2025-05-18106,454.26-0.8%+3.0%+2.4%-1.8%
2025-05-10104,809.53-0.7%-0.7%-1.6%+5.2%
2025-05-08103,261.6-0.3%+0.8%+0.5%+2.2%
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