The 50-day average crossing above the 200-day: what actually followed on BTC. Condition: Bitcoin 50-day average crosses above the 200-day (golden cross).
9 occurrences on Bitcoin since 2017-08-17. Each horizon counts non-overlapping cases only (a run of consecutive days counts once per horizon), measured from the close of the day the condition was met, and is compared with every day in the same history. "Up more/less often" needs a z-score beyond ±2.5; anything closer is reported as the same as any day.
| Date | Close | +1d | +3d | +7d | +30d |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-08 | 78,455.8 | -0.2% | -1.6% | -3.6% | +4.2% |
| 2025-05-22 | 111,696.21 | -3.9% | -2.4% | -5.5% | -8.6% |
| 2024-10-28 | 69,962.21 | +4.0% | +0.5% | -3.0% | +37.0% |
| 2023-10-30 | 34,474.73 | +0.5% | +1.4% | +1.7% | +9.8% |
| 2023-02-07 | 23,240.46 | -1.2% | -7.0% | -4.5% | -12.4% |
| 2021-09-15 | 48,121.41 | -0.8% | +0.4% | -9.5% | +28.2% |
| 2020-05-21 | 9,068.65 | +1.1% | -3.8% | +5.6% | +3.2% |
| 2020-02-18 | 10,164.71 | -5.6% | -4.8% | -8.3% | -39.4% |
| 2019-04-24 | 5,415 | -3.6% | -2.2% | -0.6% | +47.1% |