Worldcoin closed yesterday at $0.5063, -95.8% from its all-time high of $11.97 (2024-03-10). Over the last year it moved 1.35x as much as Bitcoin on a typical day (correlation 0.50). Everything below comes from 3.2 years of daily closes since 2023-07-24.
7 days
+5.5%
30 days
+39.6%
90 days
+30.3%
1 year
-45.7%
Year to date
+5.3%
Volatility (30d, annualised)
129%
1-year: 120%
Worst drawdown, last year
-75%
All-time: -98%
Trend
Above 200-day
+33.0% from it · above 50-day
Market cap
$2.0B
24h volume $39.1M (Binance)
Daily close, last 400 days
$1.69$0.1520
2025-09-152026-01-252026-06-062026-10-16
Patterns confirmed in the last few days
Bull Flag(bullish, daily chart, 10/16/2026)
All coins: Rose within 7 days 43% of the time (3,443 cases), vs 46% on an ordinary day. No edge
Bearish Pennant(bearish, daily chart, 10/16/2026)
All coins: Fell within 7 days 57% of the time (721 cases), vs 53% on an ordinary day. No edge
Three Inside Up(bullish, 4-hour chart, 10/16/2026)
On WLD: Rose within 24 hours 50% of the time (46 cases), vs 46% on an ordinary bar. No edge
Historical frequencies, not predictions. Live detection on every timeframe is in the pattern scanner.
Which patterns worked on Worldcoin?
We tested 87 pattern, timeframe and horizon combinations with at least 30 past cases on WLD. 82 were indistinguishable from an ordinary day, 5 tended to go the other way. Each is compared with how often WLD rose (or fell) over the same window from any random bar.
Went the other way more often than usual
Three Inside Down · bearish · 4-hour chart · 24 hoursLeans opposite
Fell within 24 hours 32% of the time (50 cases), vs 53% on an ordinary bar.
Fell within 24 hours 39% of the time (44 cases), vs 54% on an ordinary day.
Worldcoin by month
Median monthly return and how many years each month closed higher. With only 3 years per month, these are descriptions of the past, not reliable tendencies.
Jan
-21%
0% up
Feb
+2%
67% up
Mar
-28%
33% up
Apr
-13%
33% up
May
+8%
100% up
Jun
-23%
0% up
Jul
-8%
33% up
Aug
-18%
25% up
Sep
+46%
100% up
Oct
+14%
67% up
Nov
+29%
67% up
Dec
-16%
33% up
What followed Worldcoin's biggest days
After a 10%+ daily drop54 times, last 2026-10-12
7 days later: WLD was higher 37% of the time (n=41), vs 42% after any day. Median -2.6% (any day -2.5%); middle 80% -19% to +21%. No different from any day.
30 days later: WLD was higher 29% of the time (n=21), vs 42% after any day. Median -16.4% (any day -7.1%); middle 80% -40% to +34%. No different from any day.
After a 10%+ daily rise78 times, last 2026-09-30
7 days later: WLD was higher 45% of the time (n=47), vs 42% after any day. Median -2.7% (any day -2.5%); middle 80% -23% to +21%. No different from any day.
30 days later: WLD was higher 36% of the time (n=22), vs 42% after any day. Median -9.4% (any day -7.1%); middle 80% -38% to +94%. No different from any day.
Statistics as of 2026-10-15. Name and market-cap rank: CoinGecko. Prices: Binance. Historical statistics describe the past and are not investment advice.