POL (ex-MATIC) closed yesterday at $0.09559, -90.4% from its all-time high of $1 (2024-09-13). Over the last year it moved 0.91x as much as Bitcoin on a typical day (correlation 0.56). Everything below comes from 2.1 years of daily closes since 2024-09-13.
7 days
-2.7%
30 days
+2.6%
90 days
+15.1%
1 year
-51.1%
Year to date
-4.9%
Volatility (30d, annualised)
78%
1-year: 72%
Worst drawdown, last year
-66%
All-time: -90%
Trend
Above 200-day
+7.0% from it · below 50-day
Market cap
$1.0B
24h volume $8.1M (Binance)
Daily close, last 400 days
$0.2737$0.05692
2025-09-152026-01-252026-06-062026-10-16
Patterns confirmed in the last few days
On Neck(bearish, daily chart, 10/15/2026)
All coins: Fell within 7 days 56% of the time (116 cases), vs 54% on an ordinary day. No edge
In Neck(bearish, daily chart, 10/15/2026)
All coins: Fell within 7 days 53% of the time (4,091 cases), vs 54% on an ordinary day. No edge
Evening Star(bearish, 4-hour chart, 10/16/2026)
On POL: Fell within 24 hours 51% of the time (63 cases), vs 52% on an ordinary bar. No edge
Tweezer Top(bearish, 4-hour chart, 10/16/2026)
On POL: Fell within 24 hours 51% of the time (83 cases), vs 52% on an ordinary bar. No edge
Historical frequencies, not predictions. Live detection on every timeframe is in the pattern scanner.
Which patterns worked on POL (ex-MATIC)?
We tested 62 pattern, timeframe and horizon combinations with at least 30 past cases on POL. 58 were indistinguishable from an ordinary day, 1 did better than usual, 3 tended to go the other way. Each is compared with how often POL rose (or fell) over the same window from any random bar.
Fell within 24 hours 34% of the time (32 cases), vs 52% on an ordinary bar.
POL (ex-MATIC) by month
Median monthly return and how many years each month closed higher. With only 2 years per month, these are descriptions of the past, not reliable tendencies.
Jan
-8%
0% up
Feb
-11%
50% up
Mar
-21%
0% up
Apr
+10%
100% up
May
-7%
0% up
Jun
-20%
0% up
Jul
+8%
100% up
Aug
+34%
100% up
Sep
+5%
50% up
Oct
-19%
0% up
Nov
+28%
50% up
Dec
-21%
0% up
What followed POL (ex-MATIC)'s biggest days
After a 10%+ daily drop10 times, last 2026-06-05
7 days later: POL was higher 56% of the time (n=9), vs 41% after any day. Median +1.6% (any day -1.9%); middle 80% -11% to +6%. Too few cases to tell.
30 days later: POL was higher 29% of the time (n=7), vs 39% after any day. Median -4.9% (any day -6.5%); middle 80% -25% to +7%. Too few cases to tell.
After a 10%+ daily rise15 times, last 2026-08-22
7 days later: POL was higher 50% of the time (n=10), vs 41% after any day. Median +0.1% (any day -1.9%); middle 80% -16% to +16%. Too few cases to tell.
30 days later: POL was higher 60% of the time (n=5), vs 39% after any day. Median +14.5% (any day -6.5%); middle 80% -37% to +82%. Too few cases to tell.
Statistics as of 2026-10-15. Name and market-cap rank: CoinGecko. Prices: Binance. Historical statistics describe the past and are not investment advice.