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#50 by market cap · DOT

Polkadot statistics

Polkadot closed yesterday at $1.15, -97.9% from its all-time high of $55.09 (2021-11-04). Over the last year it moved 1.15x as much as Bitcoin on a typical day (correlation 0.62). Everything below comes from 6.2 years of daily closes since 2020-08-18.

7 days
+5.5%
30 days
+21.7%
90 days
+35.5%
1 year
-63.3%
Year to date
-35.7%
Volatility (30d, annualised)
90%
1-year: 82%
Worst drawdown, last year
-77%
All-time: -99%
Trend
Above 200-day
+9.7% from it · above 50-day
Market cap
$2.0B
24h volume $13.0M (Binance)
Daily close, last 400 days
$4.76$0.5251
2025-09-152026-01-252026-06-062026-10-16

Patterns confirmed in the last few days

Ladder Bottom (bullish, daily chart, 10/15/2026)
All coins: Rose within 7 days 50% of the time (1,425 cases), vs 46% on an ordinary day. No edge
Double Top (bearish, daily chart, 10/15/2026)
All coins: Fell within 7 days 54% of the time (1,041 cases), vs 53% on an ordinary day. No edge
Triple Top (bearish, daily chart, 10/15/2026)
All coins: Fell within 7 days 59% of the time (88 cases), vs 52% on an ordinary day. No edge
Ascending Triangle (bullish, daily chart, 10/15/2026)
All coins: Rose within 7 days 46% of the time (1,094 cases), vs 47% on an ordinary day. No edge
Bull Flag (bullish, daily chart, 10/13/2026)
All coins: Rose within 7 days 43% of the time (3,443 cases), vs 46% on an ordinary day. No edge
Head & Shoulders (bearish, daily chart, 10/15/2026)
All coins: Fell within 7 days 56% of the time (826 cases), vs 53% on an ordinary day. No edge
Evening Star (bearish, 4-hour chart, 10/16/2026)
On DOT: Fell within 24 hours 50% of the time (177 cases), vs 51% on an ordinary bar. No edge

Historical frequencies, not predictions. Live detection on every timeframe is in the pattern scanner.

Which patterns worked on Polkadot?

We tested 140 pattern, timeframe and horizon combinations with at least 30 past cases on DOT. 133 were indistinguishable from an ordinary day, 4 did better than usual, 3 tended to go the other way. Each is compared with how often DOT rose (or fell) over the same window from any random bar.

Falling Wedge · bullish · 4-hour chart · 7 daysWeak edge
Rose within 7 days 62% of the time (71 cases), vs 47% on an ordinary bar.
Descending Triangle · bearish · 4-hour chart · 24 hoursWeak edge
Fell within 24 hours 63% of the time (76 cases), vs 51% on an ordinary bar.
Double Top · bearish · 4-hour chart · 7 daysWeak edge
Fell within 7 days 64% of the time (94 cases), vs 53% on an ordinary bar.
Stick Sandwich · bullish · 4-hour chart · 7 daysWeak edge
Rose within 7 days 64% of the time (36 cases), vs 47% on an ordinary bar.
Went the other way more often than usual
In Neck · bearish · daily chart · 24 hoursLeans opposite
Fell within 24 hours 30% of the time (30 cases), vs 51% on an ordinary day.
Ascending Triangle · bullish · 4-hour chart · 24 hoursLeans opposite
Rose within 24 hours 39% of the time (110 cases), vs 49% on an ordinary bar.
Bullish Harami · bullish · 1-hour chart · 4 hoursLeans opposite
Rose within 4 hours 38% of the time (80 cases), vs 49% on an ordinary bar.

Polkadot by month

Median monthly return and how many years each month closed higher. With only 6 years per month, these are descriptions of the past, not reliable tendencies.

Jan
-16%
33% up
Feb
+5%
50% up
Mar
+1%
50% up
Apr
-6%
0% up
May
-4%
17% up
Jun
-21%
0% up
Jul
+3%
50% up
Aug
-4%
50% up
Sep
-3%
43% up
Oct
+0%
50% up
Nov
+0%
50% up
Dec
-16%
33% up

What followed Polkadot's biggest days

After a 10%+ daily drop45 times, last 2026-02-05
7 days later: DOT was higher 56% of the time (n=36), vs 46% after any day. Median +0.9% (any day -0.8%); middle 80% -7% to +24%. No different from any day.
30 days later: DOT was higher 45% of the time (n=20), vs 41% after any day. Median -3.5% (any day -4.8%); middle 80% -31% to +28%. No different from any day.
After a 10%+ daily rise65 times, last 2026-10-09
7 days later: DOT was higher 43% of the time (n=46), vs 46% after any day. Median -6.7% (any day -0.8%); middle 80% -20% to +23%. No different from any day.
30 days later: DOT was higher 37% of the time (n=27), vs 41% after any day. Median -10.1% (any day -4.8%); middle 80% -30% to +61%. No different from any day.

More questions like this: what happens after…

Trade DOT on: binance, bitget, bybit, coinbase, gateio, kraken, kucoin, mexc, okx.
Similar-sized coins: Pump.fun, Worldcoin, Aster, Ondo, World Liberty Financial, Aave, Ethena, Pepe
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Statistics as of 2026-10-15. Name and market-cap rank: CoinGecko. Prices: Binance. Historical statistics describe the past and are not investment advice.