Morpho closed yesterday at $2.43, -19.0% from its all-time high of $3 (2026-08-24). Over the last year it moved 1.06x as much as Bitcoin on a typical day (correlation 0.54). Everything below comes from 1 years of daily closes since 2025-10-03.
All coins: Fell within 24 hours 46% of the time (2,946 cases), vs 50% on an ordinary bar. Leans opposite
Evening Star(bearish, 4-hour chart, 10/16/2026)
All coins: Fell within 24 hours 49% of the time (4,898 cases), vs 50% on an ordinary bar. No edge
Historical frequencies, not predictions. Live detection on every timeframe is in the pattern scanner.
Which patterns worked on Morpho?
We tested 19 pattern, timeframe and horizon combinations with at least 30 past cases on MORPHO. 19 were indistinguishable from an ordinary day. Each is compared with how often MORPHO rose (or fell) over the same window from any random bar.
None of the patterns we track moved MORPHO differently from an ordinary day. That is the most common result, and worth knowing.
Morpho by month
Median monthly return and how many years each month closed higher. With only 1 years per month, these are descriptions of the past, not reliable tendencies.
Jan
+3%
100% up
Feb
+59%
100% up
Mar
-12%
0% up
Apr
+31%
100% up
May
+8%
100% up
Jun
-8%
0% up
Jul
-4%
0% up
Aug
+30%
100% up
Sep
-4%
0% up
Oct
+5%
100% up
Nov
-28%
0% up
Dec
-21%
0% up
What followed Morpho's biggest days
After a 10%+ daily drop6 times, last 2026-08-24
7 days later: MORPHO was higher 60% of the time (n=5), vs 50% after any day. Median +4.8% (any day -0.1%); middle 80% -4% to +9%. Too few cases to tell.
30 days later: MORPHO was higher 33% of the time (n=3), vs 61% after any day. Median -1.4% (any day +5.2%); middle 80% — to —. Too few cases to tell.
After a 10%+ daily rise11 times, last 2026-09-18
7 days later: MORPHO was higher 38% of the time (n=8), vs 50% after any day. Median -3.9% (any day -0.1%); middle 80% -11% to +13%. Too few cases to tell.
30 days later: MORPHO was higher 50% of the time (n=4), vs 61% after any day. Median +5.3% (any day +5.2%); middle 80% — to —. Too few cases to tell.
Statistics as of 2026-10-15. Name and market-cap rank: CoinGecko. Prices: Binance. Historical statistics describe the past and are not investment advice.