Ondo closed yesterday at $0.4688, -59.9% from its all-time high of $1.17 (2025-07-22). Over the last year it moved 1.26x as much as Bitcoin on a typical day (correlation 0.61). Everything below comes from 1.5 years of daily closes since 2025-04-11.
On ONDO: Fell within 24 hours 52% of the time (153 cases), vs 52% on an ordinary bar. No edge
Unique Three River(bullish, 4-hour chart, 10/16/2026)
All coins: Rose within 24 hours 51% of the time (2,829 cases), vs 49% on an ordinary bar. No edge
Bearish Belt Hold(bearish, 4-hour chart, 10/16/2026)
All coins: Fell within 24 hours 47% of the time (3,124 cases), vs 50% on an ordinary bar. No edge
Historical frequencies, not predictions. Live detection on every timeframe is in the pattern scanner.
Which patterns worked on Ondo?
We tested 36 pattern, timeframe and horizon combinations with at least 30 past cases on ONDO. 34 were indistinguishable from an ordinary day, 1 did better than usual, 1 tended to go the other way. Each is compared with how often ONDO rose (or fell) over the same window from any random bar.
Fell within 24 hours 33% of the time (30 cases), vs 52% on an ordinary bar.
Ondo by month
Median monthly return and how many years each month closed higher. With only 1 years per month, these are descriptions of the past, not reliable tendencies.
Jan
-26%
0% up
Feb
-5%
0% up
Mar
+8%
100% up
Apr
-3%
0% up
May
+13%
50% up
Jun
-11%
0% up
Jul
+22%
100% up
Aug
-4%
50% up
Sep
+24%
100% up
Oct
-27%
0% up
Nov
-28%
0% up
Dec
-22%
0% up
What followed Ondo's biggest days
After a 10%+ daily drop6 times, last 2026-10-12
7 days later: ONDO was higher 60% of the time (n=5), vs 43% after any day. Median +2.0% (any day -1.5%); middle 80% -3% to +12%. Too few cases to tell.
30 days later: ONDO was higher 33% of the time (n=3), vs 40% after any day. Median -2.8% (any day -3.8%); middle 80% — to —. Too few cases to tell.
After a 10%+ daily rise14 times, last 2026-09-24
7 days later: ONDO was higher 33% of the time (n=12), vs 43% after any day. Median -7.0% (any day -1.5%); middle 80% -13% to +10%. No different from any day.
30 days later: ONDO was higher 29% of the time (n=7), vs 40% after any day. Median -5.6% (any day -3.8%); middle 80% -21% to +20%. Too few cases to tell.
Statistics as of 2026-10-15. Name and market-cap rank: CoinGecko. Prices: Binance. Historical statistics describe the past and are not investment advice.