Orca closed yesterday at $2, -84.4% from its all-time high of $12.8 (2024-12-06). Over the last year it moved 0.98x as much as Bitcoin on a typical day (correlation 0.39). Everything below comes from 1.9 years of daily closes since 2024-12-06.
7 days
-14.8%
30 days
+51.6%
90 days
+70.1%
1 year
+23.9%
Year to date
+86.6%
Volatility (30d, annualised)
167%
1-year: 110%
Worst drawdown, last year
-55%
All-time: -90%
Trend
Above 200-day
+51.5% from it · above 50-day
Market cap
$114.5M
24h volume $1.6M (Binance)
Daily close, last 400 days
$3.34$0.5769
2025-09-152026-01-252026-06-062026-10-16
Which patterns worked on Orca?
We tested 4 pattern, timeframe and horizon combinations with at least 30 past cases on ORCA. 4 were indistinguishable from an ordinary day. Each is compared with how often ORCA rose (or fell) over the same window from any random bar.
None of the patterns we track moved ORCA differently from an ordinary day. That is the most common result, and worth knowing.
Orca by month
Median monthly return and how many years each month closed higher. With only 2 years per month, these are descriptions of the past, not reliable tendencies.
Jan
-24%
0% up
Feb
-13%
50% up
Mar
+13%
100% up
Apr
+86%
100% up
May
-23%
0% up
Jun
-17%
0% up
Jul
+6%
50% up
Aug
+10%
100% up
Sep
+13%
50% up
Oct
-27%
0% up
Nov
-17%
0% up
Dec
-30%
0% up
What followed Orca's biggest days
After a 10%+ daily drop24 times, last 2026-10-12
7 days later: ORCA was higher 18% of the time (n=17), vs 42% after any day. Median -9.3% (any day -2.1%); middle 80% -18% to +6%. No different from any day.
30 days later: ORCA was higher 33% of the time (n=9), vs 40% after any day. Median -4.7% (any day -5.6%); middle 80% -39% to +29%. Too few cases to tell.
After a 10%+ daily rise27 times, last 2026-10-06
7 days later: ORCA was higher 33% of the time (n=18), vs 42% after any day. Median -2.0% (any day -2.1%); middle 80% -27% to +46%. No different from any day.
30 days later: ORCA was higher 40% of the time (n=10), vs 40% after any day. Median -7.3% (any day -5.6%); middle 80% -40% to +30%. Too few cases to tell.
Statistics as of 2026-10-15. Name and market-cap rank: CoinGecko. Prices: Binance. Historical statistics describe the past and are not investment advice.