Optimism closed yesterday at $0.1376, -97.2% from its all-time high of $4.87 (2024-03-06). Over the last year it moved 1.30x as much as Bitcoin on a typical day (correlation 0.60). Everything below comes from 4.4 years of daily closes since 2022-06-01.
7 days
+15.6%
30 days
+46.9%
90 days
+43.3%
1 year
-69.8%
Year to date
-48.6%
Volatility (30d, annualised)
141%
1-year: 95%
Worst drawdown, last year
-82%
All-time: -98%
Trend
Above 200-day
+23.1% from it · above 50-day
Market cap
$319.8M
24h volume $14.3M (Binance)
Daily close, last 400 days
$0.8766$0.03713
2025-09-152026-01-252026-06-062026-10-16
Patterns confirmed in the last few days
Unique Three River(bullish, daily chart, 10/16/2026)
All coins: Rose within 7 days 44% of the time (2,671 cases), vs 46% on an ordinary day. No edge
Historical frequencies, not predictions. Live detection on every timeframe is in the pattern scanner.
Which patterns worked on Optimism?
We tested 26 pattern, timeframe and horizon combinations with at least 30 past cases on OP. 25 were indistinguishable from an ordinary day, 1 tended to go the other way. Each is compared with how often OP rose (or fell) over the same window from any random bar.
Fell within 24 hours 34% of the time (56 cases), vs 52% on an ordinary day.
Optimism by month
Median monthly return and how many years each month closed higher. With only 4 years per month, these are descriptions of the past, not reliable tendencies.
Jan
-21%
25% up
Feb
-10%
25% up
Mar
-13%
0% up
Apr
-4%
25% up
May
-12%
0% up
Jun
-22%
0% up
Jul
+20%
60% up
Aug
-10%
40% up
Sep
+2%
60% up
Oct
-2%
25% up
Nov
+8%
50% up
Dec
-10%
25% up
What followed Optimism's biggest days
After a 10%+ daily drop42 times, last 2026-10-14
7 days later: OP was higher 54% of the time (n=35), vs 46% after any day. Median +0.9% (any day -1.3%); middle 80% -15% to +21%. No different from any day.
30 days later: OP was higher 57% of the time (n=21), vs 41% after any day. Median +3.1% (any day -5.0%); middle 80% -16% to +37%. No different from any day.
After a 10%+ daily rise66 times, last 2026-10-13
7 days later: OP was higher 58% of the time (n=43), vs 46% after any day. Median +2.2% (any day -1.3%); middle 80% -21% to +25%. No different from any day.
30 days later: OP was higher 46% of the time (n=24), vs 41% after any day. Median -2.2% (any day -5.0%); middle 80% -31% to +55%. No different from any day.
Statistics as of 2026-10-15. Name and market-cap rank: CoinGecko. Prices: Binance. Historical statistics describe the past and are not investment advice.