Ethena closed yesterday at $0.2050, -86.5% from its all-time high of $1.52 (2024-04-11). Over the last year it moved 1.41x as much as Bitcoin on a typical day (correlation 0.58). Everything below comes from 2.5 years of daily closes since 2024-04-02.
7 days
-0.8%
30 days
+46.9%
90 days
+150.0%
1 year
-51.2%
Year to date
+2.5%
Volatility (30d, annualised)
139%
1-year: 107%
Worst drawdown, last year
-86%
All-time: -95%
Trend
Above 200-day
+70.1% from it · above 50-day
Market cap
$2.7B
24h volume $55.5M (Binance)
Daily close, last 400 days
$0.7484$0.03308
2025-09-152026-01-252026-06-062026-10-16
Patterns confirmed in the last few days
Unique Three River(bullish, 4-hour chart, 10/16/2026)
On ENA: Rose within 24 hours 49% of the time (39 cases), vs 46% on an ordinary bar. No edge
Historical frequencies, not predictions. Live detection on every timeframe is in the pattern scanner.
Which patterns worked on Ethena?
We tested 69 pattern, timeframe and horizon combinations with at least 30 past cases on ENA. 67 were indistinguishable from an ordinary day, 2 tended to go the other way. Each is compared with how often ENA rose (or fell) over the same window from any random bar.
Fell within 24 hours 41% of the time (74 cases), vs 54% on an ordinary bar.
Ethena by month
Median monthly return and how many years each month closed higher. With only 2 years per month, these are descriptions of the past, not reliable tendencies.
Jan
-28%
0% up
Feb
-31%
0% up
Mar
-13%
0% up
Apr
+5%
67% up
May
-5%
33% up
Jun
-19%
0% up
Jul
+12%
67% up
Aug
+10%
67% up
Sep
+64%
67% up
Oct
-15%
50% up
Nov
+48%
50% up
Dec
-4%
50% up
What followed Ethena's biggest days
After a 10%+ daily drop43 times, last 2026-10-12
7 days later: ENA was higher 36% of the time (n=28), vs 42% after any day. Median -3.0% (any day -3.0%); middle 80% -20% to +12%. No different from any day.
30 days later: ENA was higher 15% of the time (n=13), vs 38% after any day. Median -11.6% (any day -11.2%); middle 80% -32% to +0%. No different from any day.
After a 10%+ daily rise76 times, last 2026-09-25
7 days later: ENA was higher 43% of the time (n=46), vs 42% after any day. Median -2.7% (any day -3.0%); middle 80% -25% to +30%. No different from any day.
30 days later: ENA was higher 36% of the time (n=22), vs 38% after any day. Median -15.7% (any day -11.2%); middle 80% -33% to +68%. No different from any day.
Statistics as of 2026-10-15. Name and market-cap rank: CoinGecko. Prices: Binance. Historical statistics describe the past and are not investment advice.