Official Trump closed yesterday at $1.89, -97.6% from its all-time high of $77.24 (2025-01-19). Over the last year it moved 0.95x as much as Bitcoin on a typical day (correlation 0.47). Everything below comes from 1.7 years of daily closes since 2025-01-19.
7 days
+3.6%
30 days
+0.3%
90 days
+21.4%
1 year
-68.9%
Year to date
-60.7%
Volatility (30d, annualised)
75%
1-year: 89%
Worst drawdown, last year
-84%
All-time: -97%
Trend
Below 200-day
-8.1% from it · below 50-day
Market cap
$513.5M
24h volume $16.1M (Binance)
Daily close, last 400 days
$9.32$0.9483
2025-09-152026-01-252026-06-062026-10-16
Patterns confirmed in the last few days
Tweezer Top(bearish, daily chart, 10/16/2026)
All coins: Fell within 7 days 53% of the time (6,059 cases), vs 54% on an ordinary day. No edge
Historical frequencies, not predictions. Live detection on every timeframe is in the pattern scanner.
Which patterns worked on Official Trump?
We tested 3 pattern, timeframe and horizon combinations with at least 30 past cases on TRUMP. 3 were indistinguishable from an ordinary day. Each is compared with how often TRUMP rose (or fell) over the same window from any random bar.
None of the patterns we track moved TRUMP differently from an ordinary day. That is the most common result, and worth knowing.
Official Trump by month
Median monthly return and how many years each month closed higher. With only 1 years per month, these are descriptions of the past, not reliable tendencies.
Jan
-13%
0% up
Feb
-25%
0% up
Mar
-18%
0% up
Apr
+4%
50% up
May
-12%
0% up
Jun
-20%
0% up
Jul
-6%
50% up
Aug
+34%
50% up
Sep
-11%
0% up
Oct
+6%
100% up
Nov
-23%
0% up
Dec
-16%
0% up
What followed Official Trump's biggest days
After a 10%+ daily drop15 times, last 2026-09-23
7 days later: TRUMP was higher 25% of the time (n=12), vs 34% after any day. Median -6.3% (any day -3.4%); middle 80% -15% to +7%. No different from any day.
30 days later: TRUMP was higher 33% of the time (n=9), vs 23% after any day. Median -12.1% (any day -11.9%); middle 80% -21% to +43%. Too few cases to tell.
After a 10%+ daily rise18 times, last 2026-08-23
7 days later: TRUMP was higher 40% of the time (n=10), vs 34% after any day. Median -8.0% (any day -3.4%); middle 80% -16% to +31%. Too few cases to tell.
30 days later: TRUMP was higher 33% of the time (n=6), vs 23% after any day. Median -19.8% (any day -11.9%); middle 80% -33% to +38%. Too few cases to tell.
Statistics as of 2026-10-15. Name and market-cap rank: CoinGecko. Prices: Binance. Historical statistics describe the past and are not investment advice.