Numeraire closed yesterday at $11.93, -87.8% from its all-time high of $97.7 (2021-05-16). Over the last year it moved 0.71x as much as Bitcoin on a typical day (correlation 0.37). Everything below comes from 6.2 years of daily closes since 2020-08-19.
7 days
-14.7%
30 days
+37.9%
90 days
+18.6%
1 year
-12.3%
Year to date
+24.4%
Volatility (30d, annualised)
170%
1-year: 84%
Worst drawdown, last year
-53%
All-time: -93%
Trend
Above 200-day
+29.5% from it · above 50-day
Market cap
$83.1M
24h volume $1.7M (Binance)
Daily close, last 400 days
$18.55$5.61
2025-09-152026-01-252026-06-062026-10-16
Which patterns worked on Numeraire?
We tested 34 pattern, timeframe and horizon combinations with at least 30 past cases on NMR. 33 were indistinguishable from an ordinary day, 1 tended to go the other way. Each is compared with how often NMR rose (or fell) over the same window from any random bar.
Fell within 24 hours 28% of the time (32 cases), vs 52% on an ordinary day.
Numeraire by month
Median monthly return and how many years each month closed higher. With only 6 years per month, these are descriptions of the past, not reliable tendencies.
Jan
-5%
33% up
Feb
+22%
67% up
Mar
-4%
50% up
Apr
-0%
50% up
May
-9%
17% up
Jun
-8%
33% up
Jul
+1%
50% up
Aug
+8%
67% up
Sep
+15%
57% up
Oct
-2%
33% up
Nov
+1%
50% up
Dec
-14%
33% up
What followed Numeraire's biggest days
After a 10%+ daily drop57 times, last 2026-09-29
7 days later: NMR was higher 49% of the time (n=43), vs 47% after any day. Median -0.2% (any day -0.7%); middle 80% -18% to +10%. No different from any day.
30 days later: NMR was higher 38% of the time (n=26), vs 47% after any day. Median -7.9% (any day -1.7%); middle 80% -26% to +44%. No different from any day.
After a 10%+ daily rise81 times, last 2026-10-06
7 days later: NMR was higher 29% of the time (n=59), vs 47% after any day. Median -6.2% (any day -0.7%); middle 80% -24% to +10%. Up less often than usual.
30 days later: NMR was higher 36% of the time (n=33), vs 47% after any day. Median -7.1% (any day -1.7%); middle 80% -32% to +44%. No different from any day.
Statistics as of 2026-10-15. Name and market-cap rank: CoinGecko. Prices: Binance. Historical statistics describe the past and are not investment advice.