Kusama closed yesterday at $4.51, -99.3% from its all-time high of $625 (2021-05-18). Over the last year it moved 1.10x as much as Bitcoin on a typical day (correlation 0.62). Everything below comes from 6.1 years of daily closes since 2020-09-04.
7 days
-2.6%
30 days
+21.9%
90 days
+40.5%
1 year
-59.9%
Year to date
-34.0%
Volatility (30d, annualised)
80%
1-year: 78%
Worst drawdown, last year
-79%
All-time: -100%
Trend
Above 200-day
+12.0% from it · above 50-day
Market cap
$85.3M
24h volume $309,808 (Binance)
Daily close, last 400 days
$16.92$2.08
2025-09-152026-01-252026-06-062026-10-16
Patterns confirmed in the last few days
Rising Wedge(bearish, daily chart, 10/13/2026)
All coins: Fell within 7 days 57% of the time (2,292 cases), vs 53% on an ordinary day. No edge
Historical frequencies, not predictions. Live detection on every timeframe is in the pattern scanner.
Which patterns worked on Kusama?
We tested 37 pattern, timeframe and horizon combinations with at least 30 past cases on KSM. 36 were indistinguishable from an ordinary day, 1 did better than usual. Each is compared with how often KSM rose (or fell) over the same window from any random bar.
Fell within 24 hours 69% of the time (32 cases), vs 50% on an ordinary day.
Kusama by month
Median monthly return and how many years each month closed higher. With only 6 years per month, these are descriptions of the past, not reliable tendencies.
Jan
-25%
33% up
Feb
-4%
33% up
Mar
-7%
33% up
Apr
-10%
17% up
May
-6%
33% up
Jun
-28%
0% up
Jul
-2%
33% up
Aug
+1%
50% up
Sep
-2%
43% up
Oct
-11%
33% up
Nov
+2%
50% up
Dec
-17%
33% up
What followed Kusama's biggest days
After a 10%+ daily drop55 times, last 2026-02-05
7 days later: KSM was higher 46% of the time (n=41), vs 47% after any day. Median -0.6% (any day -0.8%); middle 80% -16% to +23%. No different from any day.
30 days later: KSM was higher 42% of the time (n=26), vs 40% after any day. Median -6.5% (any day -5.9%); middle 80% -32% to +33%. No different from any day.
After a 10%+ daily rise97 times, last 2026-08-21
7 days later: KSM was higher 44% of the time (n=70), vs 47% after any day. Median -1.5% (any day -0.8%); middle 80% -18% to +17%. No different from any day.
30 days later: KSM was higher 43% of the time (n=37), vs 40% after any day. Median -3.3% (any day -5.9%); middle 80% -35% to +50%. No different from any day.
Statistics as of 2026-10-15. Name and market-cap rank: CoinGecko. Prices: Binance. Historical statistics describe the past and are not investment advice.