Filecoin closed yesterday at $1.16, -99.7% from its all-time high of $430 (2020-10-15). Over the last year it moved 1.23x as much as Bitcoin on a typical day (correlation 0.48). Everything below comes from 6 years of daily closes since 2020-10-15.
7 days
+8.6%
30 days
+42.3%
90 days
+51.7%
1 year
-27.6%
Year to date
-10.6%
Volatility (30d, annualised)
111%
1-year: 112%
Worst drawdown, last year
-81%
All-time: -100%
Trend
Above 200-day
+34.4% from it · above 50-day
Market cap
$956.9M
24h volume $27.4M (Binance)
Daily close, last 400 days
$3.56$0.4664
2025-09-152026-01-252026-06-062026-10-16
Which patterns worked on Filecoin?
We tested 32 pattern, timeframe and horizon combinations with at least 30 past cases on FIL. 31 were indistinguishable from an ordinary day, 1 tended to go the other way. Each is compared with how often FIL rose (or fell) over the same window from any random bar.
Fell within 24 hours 32% of the time (56 cases), vs 51% on an ordinary day.
Filecoin by month
Median monthly return and how many years each month closed higher. With only 6 years per month, these are descriptions of the past, not reliable tendencies.
Jan
-18%
33% up
Feb
+9%
67% up
Mar
+1%
50% up
Apr
-9%
17% up
May
-10%
33% up
Jun
-19%
0% up
Jul
+0%
50% up
Aug
-8%
17% up
Sep
+2%
50% up
Oct
-2%
20% up
Nov
-5%
33% up
Dec
-24%
17% up
What followed Filecoin's biggest days
After a 10%+ daily drop64 times, last 2026-10-12
7 days later: FIL was higher 43% of the time (n=49), vs 45% after any day. Median -2.1% (any day -1.0%); middle 80% -14% to +15%. No different from any day.
30 days later: FIL was higher 38% of the time (n=32), vs 38% after any day. Median -9.0% (any day -5.9%); middle 80% -35% to +41%. No different from any day.
After a 10%+ daily rise73 times, last 2026-10-05
7 days later: FIL was higher 45% of the time (n=51), vs 45% after any day. Median -1.0% (any day -1.0%); middle 80% -17% to +18%. No different from any day.
30 days later: FIL was higher 34% of the time (n=29), vs 38% after any day. Median -11.4% (any day -5.9%); middle 80% -29% to +41%. No different from any day.
Statistics as of 2026-10-15. Name and market-cap rank: CoinGecko. Prices: Binance. Historical statistics describe the past and are not investment advice.