Convex Finance closed yesterday at $2.01, -96.8% from its all-time high of $63 (2022-01-01). Over the last year it moved 1.26x as much as Bitcoin on a typical day (correlation 0.60). Everything below comes from 4.8 years of daily closes since 2021-12-23.
7 days
-0.5%
30 days
+8.2%
90 days
+65.3%
1 year
-19.5%
Year to date
+24.9%
Volatility (30d, annualised)
79%
1-year: 93%
Worst drawdown, last year
-57%
All-time: -98%
Trend
Above 200-day
+19.2% from it · below 50-day
Market cap
$182.1M
24h volume $1.4M (Binance)
Daily close, last 400 days
$4.25$0.8808
2025-09-152026-01-252026-06-062026-10-16
Patterns confirmed in the last few days
Three Outside Down(bearish, daily chart, 10/13/2026)
On CVX: Fell within 7 days 62% of the time (39 cases), vs 56% on an ordinary day. No edge
Historical frequencies, not predictions. Live detection on every timeframe is in the pattern scanner.
Which patterns worked on Convex Finance?
We tested 30 pattern, timeframe and horizon combinations with at least 30 past cases on CVX. 29 were indistinguishable from an ordinary day, 1 did better than usual. Each is compared with how often CVX rose (or fell) over the same window from any random bar.
Fell within 7 days 70% of the time (64 cases), vs 56% on an ordinary day.
Convex Finance by month
Median monthly return and how many years each month closed higher. With only 5 years per month, these are descriptions of the past, not reliable tendencies.
Jan
-14%
40% up
Feb
-7%
40% up
Mar
-8%
40% up
Apr
-5%
20% up
May
-10%
20% up
Jun
-12%
20% up
Jul
+12%
60% up
Aug
-16%
20% up
Sep
-6%
40% up
Oct
-14%
25% up
Nov
+0%
50% up
Dec
-11%
0% up
What followed Convex Finance's biggest days
After a 10%+ daily drop57 times, last 2026-02-05
7 days later: CVX was higher 41% of the time (n=41), vs 44% after any day. Median -5.2% (any day -1.7%); middle 80% -16% to +24%. No different from any day.
30 days later: CVX was higher 26% of the time (n=23), vs 38% after any day. Median -12.2% (any day -7.0%); middle 80% -49% to +36%. No different from any day.
After a 10%+ daily rise78 times, last 2026-08-26
7 days later: CVX was higher 33% of the time (n=48), vs 44% after any day. Median -5.9% (any day -1.7%); middle 80% -25% to +19%. No different from any day.
30 days later: CVX was higher 27% of the time (n=26), vs 38% after any day. Median -15.5% (any day -7.0%); middle 80% -36% to +79%. No different from any day.
Statistics as of 2026-10-15. Name and market-cap rank: CoinGecko. Prices: Binance. Historical statistics describe the past and are not investment advice.