Axelar closed yesterday at $0.05460, -98.0% from its all-time high of $2.77 (2024-03-01). Over the last year it moved 1.12x as much as Bitcoin on a typical day (correlation 0.48). Everything below comes from 2.6 years of daily closes since 2024-03-01.
All coins: Rose within 7 days 45% of the time (14,571 cases), vs 46% on an ordinary day. No edge
Historical frequencies, not predictions. Live detection on every timeframe is in the pattern scanner.
Which patterns worked on Axelar?
We tested 12 pattern, timeframe and horizon combinations with at least 30 past cases on AXL. 12 were indistinguishable from an ordinary day. Each is compared with how often AXL rose (or fell) over the same window from any random bar.
None of the patterns we track moved AXL differently from an ordinary day. That is the most common result, and worth knowing.
Axelar by month
Median monthly return and how many years each month closed higher. With only 2 years per month, these are descriptions of the past, not reliable tendencies.
Jan
-13%
0% up
Feb
-14%
0% up
Mar
-11%
33% up
Apr
+2%
67% up
May
-19%
0% up
Jun
-27%
33% up
Jul
-3%
33% up
Aug
-9%
33% up
Sep
+23%
67% up
Oct
-9%
50% up
Nov
+5%
50% up
Dec
-36%
0% up
What followed Axelar's biggest days
After a 10%+ daily drop22 times, last 2026-04-17
7 days later: AXL was higher 58% of the time (n=19), vs 40% after any day. Median +1.9% (any day -2.8%); middle 80% -27% to +11%. No different from any day.
30 days later: AXL was higher 36% of the time (n=11), vs 30% after any day. Median -10.9% (any day -11.0%); middle 80% -27% to +23%. Too few cases to tell.
After a 10%+ daily rise39 times, last 2026-10-14
7 days later: AXL was higher 29% of the time (n=31), vs 40% after any day. Median -9.2% (any day -2.8%); middle 80% -25% to +7%. No different from any day.
30 days later: AXL was higher 18% of the time (n=17), vs 30% after any day. Median -20.5% (any day -11.0%); middle 80% -39% to +11%. No different from any day.
Statistics as of 2026-10-15. Name and market-cap rank: CoinGecko. Prices: Binance. Historical statistics describe the past and are not investment advice.