ARK closed yesterday at $0.1822, -92.3% from its all-time high of $2.36 (2023-09-22). Over the last year it moved 0.99x as much as Bitcoin on a typical day (correlation 0.56). Everything below comes from 3.1 years of daily closes since 2023-09-22.
7 days
-18.7%
30 days
+25.3%
90 days
+74.9%
1 year
-47.5%
Year to date
-29.5%
Volatility (30d, annualised)
145%
1-year: 78%
Worst drawdown, last year
-75%
All-time: -95%
Trend
Above 200-day
+28.2% from it · above 50-day
Market cap
$35.8M
24h volume $503,312 (Binance)
Daily close, last 400 days
$0.4945$0.06277
2025-09-152026-01-252026-06-062026-10-16
Patterns confirmed in the last few days
In Neck(bearish, daily chart, 10/15/2026)
All coins: Fell within 7 days 53% of the time (4,091 cases), vs 54% on an ordinary day. No edge
Historical frequencies, not predictions. Live detection on every timeframe is in the pattern scanner.
Which patterns worked on ARK?
We tested 16 pattern, timeframe and horizon combinations with at least 30 past cases on ARK. 16 were indistinguishable from an ordinary day. Each is compared with how often ARK rose (or fell) over the same window from any random bar.
None of the patterns we track moved ARK differently from an ordinary day. That is the most common result, and worth knowing.
ARK by month
Median monthly return and how many years each month closed higher. With only 3 years per month, these are descriptions of the past, not reliable tendencies.
Jan
-10%
0% up
Feb
-13%
33% up
Mar
-7%
33% up
Apr
+4%
67% up
May
-9%
33% up
Jun
-33%
0% up
Jul
-12%
33% up
Aug
+2%
67% up
Sep
+58%
67% up
Oct
+14%
67% up
Nov
+6%
67% up
Dec
-14%
0% up
What followed ARK's biggest days
After a 10%+ daily drop30 times, last 2026-10-02
7 days later: ARK was higher 48% of the time (n=21), vs 44% after any day. Median 0.0% (any day -1.3%); middle 80% -17% to +15%. No different from any day.
30 days later: ARK was higher 38% of the time (n=13), vs 37% after any day. Median -6.9% (any day -6.5%); middle 80% -33% to +22%. No different from any day.
After a 10%+ daily rise39 times, last 2026-09-25
7 days later: ARK was higher 52% of the time (n=25), vs 44% after any day. Median +0.2% (any day -1.3%); middle 80% -13% to +29%. No different from any day.
30 days later: ARK was higher 62% of the time (n=13), vs 37% after any day. Median +8.9% (any day -6.5%); middle 80% -37% to +51%. No different from any day.
Statistics as of 2026-10-15. Name and market-cap rank: CoinGecko. Prices: Binance. Historical statistics describe the past and are not investment advice.