Bitcoin tops near full moons and bottoms near new moons.
Across 113 full moons and 113 new moons, Bitcoin's 7-day return after a full moon averaged +0.3% (higher 55% of the time) and after a new moon +1.4% (higher 56%). The gap (z = -0.9) is the kind luck produces.
| Average 7-day return | Higher after 7 days | Cases | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Full moon | +0.3% | 55% | 113 |
| New moon | +1.4% | 56% | 113 |
How this was checked. Moon phases from the mean synodic month (29.53 days) from a known new moon; Bitcoin's close on the phase day to 7 days later.
Recomputed nightly from Binance daily closes. History describes the past; it is not a forecast or advice.