Bitcoin bounces after a 10% daily drop.
This has happened 29 times on Bitcoin since 2017-08-17. 7 days later it was higher 58% of the time (n=24), against 53% after any day; median +2.2% vs +0.5%. That is within what luck produces.
| Date | 7 days later | 30 days later |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-02-05 | +5.3% | +6.9% |
| 2022-11-09 | +4.7% | +7.6% |
| 2022-08-19 | -2.9% | -6.8% |
| 2022-06-13 | -8.5% | -10.0% |
| 2022-05-09 | -0.7% | +0.4% |
| 2022-01-21 | +3.5% | +5.3% |
| 2021-09-07 | +0.5% | +14.8% |
| 2021-06-21 | +9.1% | +1.7% |
| 2021-05-19 | +7.0% | -2.4% |
| 2021-05-12 | -26.1% | -24.8% |
| 2021-01-21 | +8.2% | +81.0% |
| 2020-09-03 | +1.9% | +4.0% |
| 2020-03-12 | +28.4% | +43.3% |
| 2019-09-24 | -2.4% | -12.7% |
| 2019-07-16 | +4.5% | +9.1% |
| 2019-07-14 | +4.1% | +7.1% |
| 2019-06-27 | -1.6% | -16.4% |
| 2018-11-24 | +6.5% | +1.9% |
| 2018-11-19 | -21.3% | -25.4% |
| 2018-06-22 | +2.5% | +22.3% |
| 2018-03-29 | -4.5% | +31.9% |
| 2018-03-14 | +8.8% | -3.6% |
| 2018-02-05 | +28.3% | +42.8% |
| 2018-02-04 | -1.5% | +30.9% |
| 2018-02-01 | -15.6% | +24.3% |
| 2018-01-16 | -0.9% | -8.3% |
| 2018-01-11 | -17.2% | -35.5% |
| 2017-12-30 | +37.2% | -9.6% |
| 2017-12-22 | +7.9% | -13.5% |
How this was checked. Every occurrence on Bitcoin's daily chart, measured from that day's close, non-overlapping per horizon, against all days (z beyond ±2.5 to count).
Run the same question on any coin in the Event Explorer.
Recomputed nightly from Binance daily closes. History describes the past; it is not a forecast or advice.