Bitcoin does well after the Fear & Greed index drops below 20.
This has happened 67 times on Bitcoin since 2017-08-17. 30 days later it was higher 50% of the time (n=28), against 55% after any day; median -0.2% vs +1.8%. That is within what luck produces.
| Date | 7 days later | 30 days later |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-24 | -1.7% | +5.0% |
| 2026-06-18 | -5.0% | +3.0% |
| 2026-06-03 | -4.1% | -2.4% |
| 2026-03-20 | -5.8% | +4.7% |
| 2026-03-06 | +4.1% | +1.4% |
| 2026-02-01 | -8.6% | -11.2% |
| 2026-01-30 | -16.2% | -21.9% |
| 2025-12-15 | +2.5% | +12.2% |
| 2025-11-26 | +3.3% | -3.4% |
| 2025-11-13 | -13.1% | -9.5% |
| 2025-04-09 | +1.7% | +24.6% |
| 2025-03-04 | -5.0% | -4.7% |
| 2025-02-27 | +6.2% | -2.4% |
| 2024-08-06 | +8.2% | +0.3% |
| 2022-07-12 | +21.1% | +23.8% |
| 2022-05-08 | -8.0% | -8.6% |
| 2022-01-21 | +3.5% | +5.3% |
| 2022-01-06 | -1.2% | -4.0% |
| 2021-12-11 | -5.2% | -15.3% |
| 2021-12-05 | +1.3% | -7.2% |
| 2021-07-20 | +32.5% | +57.0% |
| 2021-07-17 | +8.7% | +45.6% |
| 2021-06-22 | +10.5% | -0.7% |
| 2021-06-06 | +9.0% | -4.4% |
| 2021-05-29 | +2.6% | -0.3% |
| 2021-05-20 | -4.9% | -12.4% |
| 2020-04-10 | +2.5% | +27.2% |
| 2020-03-09 | -36.6% | -7.2% |
| 2019-12-18 | -1.0% | +22.5% |
| 2019-11-25 | +2.6% | +1.3% |
How this was checked. Every occurrence on Bitcoin's daily chart, measured from that day's close, non-overlapping per horizon, against all days (z beyond ±2.5 to count).
Run the same question on any coin in the Event Explorer.
Recomputed nightly from Binance daily closes. History describes the past; it is not a forecast or advice.