Does the Bullish Harami work on Sui?

On Sui's daily chart, after a bullish harami Sui rose within 7 days 41% of the time across 54 past cases. On an ordinary day it did so 46% of the time.

No edge: a coin flipIndistinguishable from an ordinary day on this coin. Most patterns land here.
On SuiNo edge
41% of 54 casesbaseline 46%
All coinsNo edge
45% of 15,980 casesbaseline 46%
Median move after the pattern -3.40% vs -1.21% from any bar; after a 0.2% round trip of fees -3.60%.

Daily chart

WithinSuiOrdinary barCasesAll coinsVerdict
24 hours38% (28%–50%)46%7347% vs 48%No edge
30 days43% (27%–61%)47%3041% vs 42%No edge
7 days41% (29%–54%)46%5445% vs 46%No edge

4-hour chart

WithinSuiOrdinary barCasesAll coinsVerdict
24 hours44% (39%–49%)47%33750% vs 49%No edge
7 days44% (36%–53%)45%12748% vs 48%No edge

How this is measured: each occurrence is counted from the bar where the pattern became knowable, overlapping cases are dropped, and the result is compared with how often Sui moved the same way from any random bar over the same window. A pattern only earns "beat the baseline" when the difference is larger than luck explains across all the tests we run. Full method.

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