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#17 by market cap · ADA

Cardano statistics

Cardano closed yesterday at $0.2301, -92.6% from its all-time high of $3.1 (2021-09-02). Over the last year it moved 1.37x as much as Bitcoin on a typical day (correlation 0.80). Everything below comes from 8.5 years of daily closes since 2018-04-17.

7 days
-0.9%
30 days
+17.8%
90 days
+38.0%
1 year
-65.6%
Year to date
-31.0%
Volatility (30d, annualised)
81%
1-year: 75%
Worst drawdown, last year
-79%
All-time: -95%
Trend
Above 200-day
+8.3% from it · above 50-day
Market cap
$8.5B
24h volume $36.6M (Binance)
Daily close, last 400 days
$0.9712$0.09696
2025-09-152026-01-252026-06-062026-10-16

Which patterns worked on Cardano?

We tested 256 pattern, timeframe and horizon combinations with at least 30 past cases on ADA. 238 were indistinguishable from an ordinary day, 6 did better than usual, 5 tended to go the other way. Each is compared with how often ADA rose (or fell) over the same window from any random bar.

Bull Flag · bullish · 1-hour chart · 4 hoursWeak edge
Rose within 4 hours 63% of the time (125 cases), vs 49% on an ordinary bar.
Double Top · bearish · 4-hour chart · 7 daysWeak edge
Fell within 7 days 63% of the time (106 cases), vs 52% on an ordinary bar.
ABCD · bullish · 1-hour chart · 4 hoursWeak edge
Rose within 4 hours 63% of the time (62 cases), vs 49% on an ordinary bar.
ABCD · bearish · 1-hour chart · 4 hoursWeak edge
Fell within 4 hours 67% of the time (39 cases), vs 50% on an ordinary bar.
Advance Block · bearish · 1-hour chart · 4 hoursWeak edge
Fell within 4 hours 55% of the time (387 cases), vs 50% on an ordinary bar.
Stick Sandwich · bullish · 4-hour chart · 24 hoursWeak edge
Rose within 24 hours 66% of the time (35 cases), vs 49% on an ordinary bar.
Went the other way more often than usual
Three Black Crows · bearish · 1-hour chart · 4 hoursLeans opposite
Fell within 4 hours 45% of the time (784 cases), vs 50% on an ordinary bar.
Double Bottom · bullish · 1-hour chart · 4 hoursLeans opposite
Rose within 4 hours 43% of the time (583 cases), vs 49% on an ordinary bar.
Three Outside Up · bullish · daily chart · 24 hoursLeans opposite
Rose within 24 hours 34% of the time (79 cases), vs 49% on an ordinary day.
Three Black Crows · bearish · 4-hour chart · 24 hoursLeans opposite
Fell within 24 hours 44% of the time (308 cases), vs 51% on an ordinary bar.
Rounding Bottom · bullish · 4-hour chart · 7 daysLeans opposite
Rose within 7 days 35% of the time (93 cases), vs 48% on an ordinary bar.

Cardano by month

Median monthly return and how many years each month closed higher. With only 8 years per month, these are descriptions of the past, not reliable tendencies.

Jan
-3%
50% up
Feb
-7%
38% up
Mar
-4%
50% up
Apr
-0%
50% up
May
-3%
33% up
Jun
-17%
11% up
Jul
+5%
56% up
Aug
-13%
33% up
Sep
-5%
33% up
Oct
-5%
25% up
Nov
-12%
38% up
Dec
-15%
25% up

What followed Cardano's biggest days

After a 10%+ daily drop72 times, last 2026-06-05
7 days later: ADA was higher 55% of the time (n=55), vs 47% after any day. Median +1.7% (any day -0.7%); middle 80% -14% to +20%. No different from any day.
30 days later: ADA was higher 42% of the time (n=36), vs 45% after any day. Median -1.5% (any day -2.9%); middle 80% -29% to +20%. No different from any day.
After a 10%+ daily rise105 times, last 2026-09-18
7 days later: ADA was higher 52% of the time (n=77), vs 47% after any day. Median +0.3% (any day -0.7%); middle 80% -13% to +25%. No different from any day.
30 days later: ADA was higher 44% of the time (n=45), vs 45% after any day. Median -2.6% (any day -2.9%); middle 80% -34% to +57%. No different from any day.

More questions like this: what happens after…

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Statistics as of 2026-10-15. Name and market-cap rank: CoinGecko. Prices: Binance. Historical statistics describe the past and are not investment advice.