Does the Three White Soldiers work on Litecoin?

On Litecoin's daily chart, after a three white soldiers Litecoin rose within 7 days 46% of the time across 56 past cases. On an ordinary day it did so 49% of the time.

No edge: a coin flipIndistinguishable from an ordinary day on this coin. Most patterns land here.
On LitecoinNo edge
46% of 56 casesbaseline 49%
All coinsNo edge
46% of 7,212 casesbaseline 46%
Median move after the pattern -0.48% vs -0.08% from any bar; after a 0.2% round trip of fees -0.68%.

Daily chart

WithinLitecoinOrdinary barCasesAll coinsVerdict
24 hours35% (25%–46%)50%7245% vs 49%Leans opposite
30 days53% (37%–68%)49%3845% vs 43%No edge
7 days46% (34%–59%)49%5646% vs 46%No edge

4-hour chart

WithinLitecoinOrdinary barCasesAll coinsVerdict
24 hours51% (46%–57%)52%29648% vs 49%No edge
7 days54% (47%–61%)50%17450% vs 48%No edge

1-hour chart

WithinLitecoinOrdinary barCasesAll coinsVerdict
24 hours49% (44%–53%)51%54349% vs 50%No edge
4 hours45% (42%–49%)50%76848% vs 50%Leans opposite

How this is measured: each occurrence is counted from the bar where the pattern became knowable, overlapping cases are dropped, and the result is compared with how often Litecoin moved the same way from any random bar over the same window. A pattern only earns "beat the baseline" when the difference is larger than luck explains across all the tests we run. Full method.

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