Does the Bullish Harami work on NEAR Protocol?

On NEAR Protocol's daily chart, after a bullish harami NEAR Protocol rose within 7 days 45% of the time across 91 past cases. On an ordinary day it did so 49% of the time.

No edge: a coin flipIndistinguishable from an ordinary day on this coin. Most patterns land here.
On NEAR ProtocolNo edge
45% of 91 casesbaseline 49%
All coinsNo edge
45% of 15,980 casesbaseline 46%
Median move after the pattern -0.90% vs -0.49% from any bar; after a 0.2% round trip of fees -1.10%.

Daily chart

WithinNEAR ProtocolOrdinary barCasesAll coinsVerdict
24 hours45% (37%–54%)49%12247% vs 48%No edge
30 days44% (31%–59%)46%4541% vs 42%No edge
7 days45% (35%–55%)49%9145% vs 46%No edge

4-hour chart

WithinNEAR ProtocolOrdinary barCasesAll coinsVerdict
24 hours47% (43%–51%)49%57650% vs 49%No edge
7 days45% (38%–51%)49%22648% vs 48%No edge

1-hour chart

WithinNEAR ProtocolOrdinary barCasesAll coinsVerdict
24 hours49% (45%–52%)49%81351% vs 50%No edge
4 hours49% (47%–51%)49%162250% vs 50%No edge

How this is measured: each occurrence is counted from the bar where the pattern became knowable, overlapping cases are dropped, and the result is compared with how often NEAR Protocol moved the same way from any random bar over the same window. A pattern only earns "beat the baseline" when the difference is larger than luck explains across all the tests we run. Full method.

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