Does the Bullish Harami work on Litecoin?

On Litecoin's daily chart, after a bullish harami Litecoin rose within 7 days 50% of the time across 147 past cases. On an ordinary day it did so 49% of the time.

No edge: a coin flipIndistinguishable from an ordinary day on this coin. Most patterns land here.
On LitecoinNo edge
50% of 147 casesbaseline 49%
All coinsNo edge
45% of 15,980 casesbaseline 46%
Median move after the pattern +0.36% vs -0.08% from any bar; after a 0.2% round trip of fees +0.16%.

Daily chart

WithinLitecoinOrdinary barCasesAll coinsVerdict
24 hours47% (40%–54%)50%19947% vs 48%No edge
30 days52% (41%–64%)49%6941% vs 42%No edge
7 days50% (42%–58%)49%14745% vs 46%No edge

4-hour chart

WithinLitecoinOrdinary barCasesAll coinsVerdict
24 hours57% (53%–60%)52%71750% vs 49%Weak edge
7 days49% (43%–55%)50%26148% vs 48%No edge

1-hour chart

WithinLitecoinOrdinary barCasesAll coinsVerdict
24 hours54% (50%–57%)51%82151% vs 50%No edge
4 hours51% (49%–54%)50%161750% vs 50%No edge

How this is measured: each occurrence is counted from the bar where the pattern became knowable, overlapping cases are dropped, and the result is compared with how often Litecoin moved the same way from any random bar over the same window. A pattern only earns "beat the baseline" when the difference is larger than luck explains across all the tests we run. Full method.

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