Does the Bullish Harami work on BNB?

On BNB's daily chart, after a bullish harami BNB rose within 7 days 54% of the time across 151 past cases. On an ordinary day it did so 53% of the time.

No edge: a coin flipIndistinguishable from an ordinary day on this coin. Most patterns land here.
On BNBNo edge
54% of 151 casesbaseline 53%
All coinsNo edge
45% of 15,980 casesbaseline 46%
Median move after the pattern +0.44% vs +0.46% from any bar; after a 0.2% round trip of fees +0.24%.

Daily chart

WithinBNBOrdinary barCasesAll coinsVerdict
24 hours50% (43%–57%)52%20647% vs 48%No edge
30 days57% (45%–68%)56%7041% vs 42%No edge
7 days54% (46%–61%)53%15145% vs 46%No edge

4-hour chart

WithinBNBOrdinary barCasesAll coinsVerdict
24 hours55% (51%–58%)52%72150% vs 49%No edge
7 days54% (48%–60%)53%26148% vs 48%No edge

1-hour chart

WithinBNBOrdinary barCasesAll coinsVerdict
24 hours51% (48%–54%)52%85251% vs 50%No edge
4 hours51% (48%–53%)51%180050% vs 50%No edge

How this is measured: each occurrence is counted from the bar where the pattern became knowable, overlapping cases are dropped, and the result is compared with how often BNB moved the same way from any random bar over the same window. A pattern only earns "beat the baseline" when the difference is larger than luck explains across all the tests we run. Full method.

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