Does the Bearish Harami work on Shiba Inu?

On Shiba Inu's daily chart, after a bearish harami Shiba Inu fell within 7 days 55% of the time across 80 past cases. On an ordinary day it did so 56% of the time.

No edge: a coin flipIndistinguishable from an ordinary day on this coin. Most patterns land here.
On Shiba InuNo edge
55% of 80 casesbaseline 56%
All coinsNo edge
54% of 14,324 casesbaseline 53%
Median move after the pattern +1.73% vs +1.29% from any bar; after a 0.2% round trip of fees +1.53%.

Daily chart

WithinShiba InuOrdinary barCasesAll coinsVerdict
24 hours48% (38%–57%)51%10750% vs 51%No edge
30 days57% (42%–71%)57%4258% vs 57%No edge
7 days55% (44%–65%)56%8054% vs 53%No edge

4-hour chart

WithinShiba InuOrdinary barCasesAll coinsVerdict
24 hours51% (46%–55%)52%52952% vs 50%No edge
7 days53% (46%–59%)56%20052% vs 51%No edge

How this is measured: each occurrence is counted from the bar where the pattern became knowable, overlapping cases are dropped, and the result is compared with how often Shiba Inu moved the same way from any random bar over the same window. A pattern only earns "beat the baseline" when the difference is larger than luck explains across all the tests we run. Full method.

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