On Bitcoin Cash's daily chart, after a bearish engulfing Bitcoin Cash fell within 7 days 44% of the time across 119 past cases. On an ordinary day it did so 51% of the time.
| Within | Bitcoin Cash | Ordinary bar | Cases | All coins | Verdict |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 hours | 40% (33%–48%) | 50% | 164 | 50% vs 51% | Leans opposite |
| 30 days | 42% (31%–55%) | 49% | 59 | 57% vs 58% | No edge |
| 7 days | 44% (35%–53%) | 51% | 119 | 55% vs 54% | No edge |
| Within | Bitcoin Cash | Ordinary bar | Cases | All coins | Verdict |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 hours | 48% (45%–52%) | 50% | 682 | 48% vs 50% | No edge |
| 7 days | 49% (43%–55%) | 51% | 255 | 51% vs 51% | No edge |
| Within | Bitcoin Cash | Ordinary bar | Cases | All coins | Verdict |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 hours | 47% (44%–51%) | 51% | 847 | 49% vs 50% | No edge |
| 4 hours | 49% (46%–51%) | 50% | 1796 | 47% vs 49% | No edge |
How this is measured: each occurrence is counted from the bar where the pattern became knowable, overlapping cases are dropped, and the result is compared with how often Bitcoin Cash moved the same way from any random bar over the same window. A pattern only earns "beat the baseline" when the difference is larger than luck explains across all the tests we run. Full method.